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icon for Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

icon for Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

140-159 57%

160-179 25%

180-199 11.2%

200+ 5.0%

Polymarket

$132,626 Vol.

140-159 57%

160-179 25%

180-199 11.2%

200+ 5.0%

Polymarket

$132,626 Vol.

100-119

$26,806 Vol.

<1%

120-139

$17,503 Vol.

3%

140-159

$6,667 Vol.

57%

160-179

$6,308 Vol.

25%

180-199

$6,521 Vol.

11%

200+

$12,167 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Trump's consistent Truth Social activity, averaging 18 to 19 posts per day since the start of his second term, has positioned the 140-159 outcome as the clear market leader for the May 12-19 window. Recent late-night posting sessions, including bursts exceeding 50 messages in single evenings and one documented spree of 55 posts over three hours in mid-May, have reinforced this range among traders tracking the platform's real-time output. These patterns reflect his established approach of using the account for rapid responses to news cycles, policy announcements, and personal commentary, without major disruptions from travel or external events altering the pace during the period. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing aligns with historical weekly totals near this level, while higher brackets like 180-199 or 200+ remain possible only with sustained overnight volume through the final day.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$132,626
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
May 9, 2026, 4:27 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Trump's consistent Truth Social activity, averaging 18 to 19 posts per day since the start of his second term, has positioned the 140-159 outcome as the clear market leader for the May 12-19 window. Recent late-night posting sessions, including bursts exceeding 50 messages in single evenings and one documented spree of 55 posts over three hours in mid-May, have reinforced this range among traders tracking the platform's real-time output. These patterns reflect his established approach of using the account for rapid responses to news cycles, policy announcements, and personal commentary, without major disruptions from travel or external events altering the pace during the period. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing aligns with historical weekly totals near this level, while higher brackets like 180-199 or 200+ remain possible only with sustained overnight volume through the final day.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$132,626
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
May 9, 2026, 4:27 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "140-159" at 57%, followed by "160-179" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 57¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?" has generated $132.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?" is "140-159" at 57%, meaning the market assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "160-179" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.