President Trump's consistent Truth Social activity, averaging 18 to 19 posts per day since the start of his second term, has positioned the 140-159 outcome as the clear market leader for the May 12-19 window. Recent late-night posting sessions, including bursts exceeding 50 messages in single evenings and one documented spree of 55 posts over three hours in mid-May, have reinforced this range among traders tracking the platform's real-time output. These patterns reflect his established approach of using the account for rapid responses to news cycles, policy announcements, and personal commentary, without major disruptions from travel or external events altering the pace during the period. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing aligns with historical weekly totals near this level, while higher brackets like 180-199 or 200+ remain possible only with sustained overnight volume through the final day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDonald Trump # Truth Social posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?
140-159 57%
160-179 25%
180-199 11.2%
200+ 5.0%
$132,626 Vol.
$132,626 Vol.
100-119
<1%
120-139
3%
140-159
57%
160-179
25%
180-199
11%
200+
5%
140-159 57%
160-179 25%
180-199 11.2%
200+ 5.0%
$132,626 Vol.
$132,626 Vol.
100-119
<1%
120-139
3%
140-159
57%
160-179
25%
180-199
11%
200+
5%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: May 9, 2026, 4:27 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...President Trump's consistent Truth Social activity, averaging 18 to 19 posts per day since the start of his second term, has positioned the 140-159 outcome as the clear market leader for the May 12-19 window. Recent late-night posting sessions, including bursts exceeding 50 messages in single evenings and one documented spree of 55 posts over three hours in mid-May, have reinforced this range among traders tracking the platform's real-time output. These patterns reflect his established approach of using the account for rapid responses to news cycles, policy announcements, and personal commentary, without major disruptions from travel or external events altering the pace during the period. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing aligns with historical weekly totals near this level, while higher brackets like 180-199 or 200+ remain possible only with sustained overnight volume through the final day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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