Trader consensus currently positions over 200 Donald Trump Truth Social posts as the leading outcome for May 15–22, 2026, reflecting his established pattern of elevated platform activity during periods of sustained political engagement. Recent policy announcements, public statements, and campaign-related updates have coincided with consistent daily posting volumes that historically exceed 25–30 instances when major developments unfold. This pricing incorporates the ongoing influence of legislative debates and public appearances scheduled within the resolution window, which have previously correlated with spikes in output. Market participants weigh these catalysts against baseline rates observed in comparable weeks, where total counts routinely surpass 180 absent major disruptions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDonald Trump # Truth Social posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?
200+ 54%
160-179 24%
180-199 18.6%
140-159 11%
$23,429 Vol.
$23,429 Vol.
May 22, 2026
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
2%
120-139
7%
140-159
11%
160-179
24%
180-199
23%
200+
54%
200+ 54%
160-179 24%
180-199 18.6%
140-159 11%
$23,429 Vol.
$23,429 Vol.
May 22, 2026
60-79
$2,317 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$4,871 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$1,269 Vol.
2%
120-139
$1,240 Vol.
7%
140-159
$537 Vol.
11%
160-179
$415 Vol.
24%
180-199
$607 Vol.
23%
200+
$1,300 Vol.
54%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus currently positions over 200 Donald Trump Truth Social posts as the leading outcome for May 15–22, 2026, reflecting his established pattern of elevated platform activity during periods of sustained political engagement. Recent policy announcements, public statements, and campaign-related updates have coincided with consistent daily posting volumes that historically exceed 25–30 instances when major developments unfold. This pricing incorporates the ongoing influence of legislative debates and public appearances scheduled within the resolution window, which have previously correlated with spikes in output. Market participants weigh these catalysts against baseline rates observed in comparable weeks, where total counts routinely surpass 180 absent major disruptions.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$23,429End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus currently positions over 200 Donald Trump Truth Social posts as the leading outcome for May 15–22, 2026, reflecting his established pattern of elevated platform activity during periods of sustained political engagement. Recent policy announcements, public statements, and campaign-related updates have coincided with consistent daily posting volumes that historically exceed 25–30 instances when major developments unfold. This pricing incorporates the ongoing influence of legislative debates and public appearances scheduled within the resolution window, which have previously correlated with spikes in output. Market participants weigh these catalysts against baseline rates observed in comparable weeks, where total counts routinely surpass 180 absent major disruptions.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$23,429End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus currently positions over 200 Donald Trump Truth Social posts as the leading outcome for May 15–22, 2026, reflecting his established pattern of elevated platform activity during periods of sustained political engagement. Recent policy announcements, public statements, and campaign-related updates have coincided with consistent daily posting volumes that historically exceed 25–30 instances when major developments unfold. This pricing incorporates the ongoing influence of legislative debates and public appearances scheduled within the resolution window, which have previously correlated with spikes in output. Market participants weigh these catalysts against baseline rates observed in comparable weeks, where total counts routinely surpass 180 absent major disruptions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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