Current forecast models from the National Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate Ankara's June 14 maximum will likely reach 21–22 °C, as persistent cloud cover and scattered thundery showers suppress daytime solar heating while promoting evaporative cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the 39.5% implied probability for 21 °C and 31.5% for 20 °C, stems from this limited warming potential once convection initiates midday. Differentiation among these tightly clustered outcomes hinges on the precise timing and coverage of showers versus any brief clearing that could allow additional insolation. Historical June averages near 28 °C underscore how anomalous the current stable, moist pattern appears. Updated model runs later today will likely refine resolution thresholds around these narrow temperature bands.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Ankara on June 14?
Highest temperature in Ankara on June 14?
20°C 48%
19°C or below 26.5%
21°C 24%
22°C 6%
$33,694 交易量
$33,694 交易量
2026-06-14
19°C or below
27%
20°C
48%
21°C
24%
22°C
6%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
20°C 48%
19°C or below 26.5%
21°C 24%
22°C 6%
$33,694 交易量
$33,694 交易量
2026-06-14
19°C or below
$5,257 交易量
27%
20°C
$5,649 交易量
48%
21°C
$5,330 交易量
24%
22°C
$5,384 交易量
6%
23°C
$3,460 交易量
2%
24°C
$2,719 交易量
1%
25°C
$3,285 交易量
<1%
26°C
$1,384 交易量
<1%
27°C
$1,652 交易量
<1%
28°C
$952 交易量
<1%
29°C or higher
$835 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the National Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate Ankara's June 14 maximum will likely reach 21–22 °C, as persistent cloud cover and scattered thundery showers suppress daytime solar heating while promoting evaporative cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the 39.5% implied probability for 21 °C and 31.5% for 20 °C, stems from this limited warming potential once convection initiates midday. Differentiation among these tightly clustered outcomes hinges on the precise timing and coverage of showers versus any brief clearing that could allow additional insolation. Historical June averages near 28 °C underscore how anomalous the current stable, moist pattern appears. Updated model runs later today will likely refine resolution thresholds around these narrow temperature bands.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$33,694結束日期
2026-06-14市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the National Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate Ankara's June 14 maximum will likely reach 21–22 °C, as persistent cloud cover and scattered thundery showers suppress daytime solar heating while promoting evaporative cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the 39.5% implied probability for 21 °C and 31.5% for 20 °C, stems from this limited warming potential once convection initiates midday. Differentiation among these tightly clustered outcomes hinges on the precise timing and coverage of showers versus any brief clearing that could allow additional insolation. Historical June averages near 28 °C underscore how anomalous the current stable, moist pattern appears. Updated model runs later today will likely refine resolution thresholds around these narrow temperature bands.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$33,694結束日期
2026-06-14市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETCurrent forecast models from the National Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate Ankara's June 14 maximum will likely reach 21–22 °C, as persistent cloud cover and scattered thundery showers suppress daytime solar heating while promoting evaporative cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the 39.5% implied probability for 21 °C and 31.5% for 20 °C, stems from this limited warming potential once convection initiates midday. Differentiation among these tightly clustered outcomes hinges on the precise timing and coverage of showers versus any brief clearing that could allow additional insolation. Historical June averages near 28 °C underscore how anomalous the current stable, moist pattern appears. Updated model runs later today will likely refine resolution thresholds around these narrow temperature bands.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions