**Trader consensus around 28–29°C for Ankara’s June 16 maximum reflects the latest short-range ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models, which converge on afternoon highs near or slightly above the June climatological average of 27–28°C.** With the forecast valid in roughly 48 hours, uncertainty stems mainly from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, timing of any thin high cloud, and minor variations in 850 hPa temperatures or southerly flow strength across the Anatolian plateau. Clear skies and strong June insolation favor the upper end of the range, while slightly stronger winds or earlier mixing could cap readings at 28°C. Historical analogs and current model spread keep 27°C and 30°C as lower-probability tails, consistent with the tight market pricing between the two leading outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月16日安卡拉的最高溫度？
6月16日安卡拉的最高溫度？
29°C 37%
28°C 36%
27°C 18%
30°C 5.4%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
18%
28°C
36%
29°C
37%
30°C
5%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C或更高
1%
29°C 37%
28°C 36%
27°C 18%
30°C 5.4%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
23°C或以下
$416 交易量
<1%
24°C
$169 交易量
1%
25°C
$104 交易量
1%
26°C
$856 交易量
4%
27°C
$90 交易量
18%
28°C
$94 交易量
36%
29°C
$200 交易量
37%
30°C
$66 交易量
5%
31°C
$62 交易量
2%
32°C
$67 交易量
1%
33°C或更高
$15 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus around 28–29°C for Ankara’s June 16 maximum reflects the latest short-range ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models, which converge on afternoon highs near or slightly above the June climatological average of 27–28°C.**
With the forecast valid in roughly 48 hours, uncertainty stems mainly from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, timing of any thin high cloud, and minor variations in 850 hPa temperatures or southerly flow strength across the Anatolian plateau. Clear skies and strong June insolation favor the upper end of the range, while slightly stronger winds or earlier mixing could cap readings at 28°C. Historical analogs and current model spread keep 27°C and 30°C as lower-probability tails, consistent with the tight market pricing between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$2,121結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus around 28–29°C for Ankara’s June 16 maximum reflects the latest short-range ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models, which converge on afternoon highs near or slightly above the June climatological average of 27–28°C.**
With the forecast valid in roughly 48 hours, uncertainty stems mainly from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, timing of any thin high cloud, and minor variations in 850 hPa temperatures or southerly flow strength across the Anatolian plateau. Clear skies and strong June insolation favor the upper end of the range, while slightly stronger winds or earlier mixing could cap readings at 28°C. Historical analogs and current model spread keep 27°C and 30°C as lower-probability tails, consistent with the tight market pricing between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,121結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET**Trader consensus around 28–29°C for Ankara’s June 16 maximum reflects the latest short-range ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models, which converge on afternoon highs near or slightly above the June climatological average of 27–28°C.** With the forecast valid in roughly 48 hours, uncertainty stems mainly from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, timing of any thin high cloud, and minor variations in 850 hPa temperatures or southerly flow strength across the Anatolian plateau. Clear skies and strong June insolation favor the upper end of the range, while slightly stronger winds or earlier mixing could cap readings at 28°C. Historical analogs and current model spread keep 27°C and 30°C as lower-probability tails, consistent with the tight market pricing between the two leading outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions