**Trader sentiment for Cape Town's June 15 maximum temperature centers on 15–17°C, reflecting model consensus for typical mid-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere.** Current forecasts from sources such as yr.no and world-weather.info indicate a daytime high near 15–16°C (roughly 59–61°F) under clearing skies after morning fog, following the passage of a cold front that brought showers and cooler north-westerly winds earlier in the week. June climatology shows average highs around 17°C, with daily ranges rarely exceeding 18°C or falling below 14°C, providing the baseline traders weigh against short-term dynamics. Recent synoptic patterns—persistent cool marine air and limited daytime heating—favor the lower-to-middle end of the normal distribution, keeping 16°C as the plurality outcome at 47% implied probability. No anomalous warming signals, such as berg winds or high-pressure ridging, appear in the latest guidance, supporting the tight clustering around 15–17°C and minimal odds for extremes. Updated model runs or official South African Weather Service briefings on the 14th–15th could refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於開普敦6月15日的最高溫度?
16°C 44%
17°C 27%
15°C 27%
18°C 2.3%
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
27%
16°C
44%
17°C
27%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C或以上
<1%
16°C 44%
17°C 27%
15°C 27%
18°C 2.3%
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
27%
16°C
44%
17°C
27%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader sentiment for Cape Town's June 15 maximum temperature centers on 15–17°C, reflecting model consensus for typical mid-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere.** Current forecasts from sources such as yr.no and world-weather.info indicate a daytime high near 15–16°C (roughly 59–61°F) under clearing skies after morning fog, following the passage of a cold front that brought showers and cooler north-westerly winds earlier in the week. June climatology shows average highs around 17°C, with daily ranges rarely exceeding 18°C or falling below 14°C, providing the baseline traders weigh against short-term dynamics. Recent synoptic patterns—persistent cool marine air and limited daytime heating—favor the lower-to-middle end of the normal distribution, keeping 16°C as the plurality outcome at 47% implied probability. No anomalous warming signals, such as berg winds or high-pressure ridging, appear in the latest guidance, supporting the tight clustering around 15–17°C and minimal odds for extremes. Updated model runs or official South African Weather Service briefings on the 14th–15th could refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions