**Official observations from Chicago Midway International Airport (KMDW) recorded a daily maximum of 82–83°F on June 11, 2026, locking in near-certain trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that bin.** Incoming severe thunderstorms, increased cloud cover, and breezy southerly winds suppressed daytime heating below seasonal normals near 79°F, preventing stronger warm advection despite early forecasts for mid-80s readings. NWS real-time data and model guidance showed only modest temperature rises before storm development, aligning precisely with the measured high. Scenarios that could have challenged this outcome—such as delayed storm arrival or reduced cloudiness allowing brief additional warming—did not materialize, as confirmed by radar trends and the final climatological report.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於芝加哥6月11日的最高溫度?
82-83°F 100.0%
75℉或以下 <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$82,609 交易量
$82,609 交易量
75℉或以下
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
是
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
否
92-93°F
否
94°F或以上
否
82-83°F 100.0%
75℉或以下 <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$82,609 交易量
$82,609 交易量
75℉或以下
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
是
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
否
92-93°F
否
94°F或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Official observations from Chicago Midway International Airport (KMDW) recorded a daily maximum of 82–83°F on June 11, 2026, locking in near-certain trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that bin.** Incoming severe thunderstorms, increased cloud cover, and breezy southerly winds suppressed daytime heating below seasonal normals near 79°F, preventing stronger warm advection despite early forecasts for mid-80s readings. NWS real-time data and model guidance showed only modest temperature rises before storm development, aligning precisely with the measured high. Scenarios that could have challenged this outcome—such as delayed storm arrival or reduced cloudiness allowing brief additional warming—did not materialize, as confirmed by radar trends and the final climatological report.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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