Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble runs from the GFS and ECMWF models indicate a Dallas high near 84–86 °F today under partly cloudy skies, moderate southerly flow, and typical May humidity levels that limit rapid afternoon warming. Traders assign the strongest odds to the 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F bins because subtle differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing could allow an extra degree or two of heating before sunset, while model spread in low-level wind speeds introduces uncertainty around the exact peak. Historical May averages near 85 °F provide context, yet the current setup favors the middle outcomes until final observations from Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport are recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on May 17?
Highest temperature in Dallas on May 17?
86-87°F 39%
88-89°F 35%
90-91°F 12%
84-85°F 10.8%
$42,586 Vol.
$42,586 Vol.
May 17, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
39%
88-89°F
35%
90-91°F
12%
92°F or higher
2%
86-87°F 39%
88-89°F 35%
90-91°F 12%
84-85°F 10.8%
$42,586 Vol.
$42,586 Vol.
May 17, 2026
73°F or below
$13,400 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$2,228 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$3,899 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$2,118 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,354 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$4,950 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$1,971 Vol.
11%
86-87°F
$3,161 Vol.
39%
88-89°F
$2,724 Vol.
35%
90-91°F
$2,481 Vol.
12%
92°F or higher
$4,413 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble runs from the GFS and ECMWF models indicate a Dallas high near 84–86 °F today under partly cloudy skies, moderate southerly flow, and typical May humidity levels that limit rapid afternoon warming. Traders assign the strongest odds to the 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F bins because subtle differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing could allow an extra degree or two of heating before sunset, while model spread in low-level wind speeds introduces uncertainty around the exact peak. Historical May averages near 85 °F provide context, yet the current setup favors the middle outcomes until final observations from Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$42,586End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble runs from the GFS and ECMWF models indicate a Dallas high near 84–86 °F today under partly cloudy skies, moderate southerly flow, and typical May humidity levels that limit rapid afternoon warming. Traders assign the strongest odds to the 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F bins because subtle differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing could allow an extra degree or two of heating before sunset, while model spread in low-level wind speeds introduces uncertainty around the exact peak. Historical May averages near 85 °F provide context, yet the current setup favors the middle outcomes until final observations from Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$42,586End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALRecent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble runs from the GFS and ECMWF models indicate a Dallas high near 84–86 °F today under partly cloudy skies, moderate southerly flow, and typical May humidity levels that limit rapid afternoon warming. Traders assign the strongest odds to the 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F bins because subtle differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing could allow an extra degree or two of heating before sunset, while model spread in low-level wind speeds introduces uncertainty around the exact peak. Historical May averages near 85 °F provide context, yet the current setup favors the middle outcomes until final observations from Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport are recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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