Current forecast guidance from National Weather Service models shows Dallas under a warm, moist southerly flow with partly cloudy skies, supporting afternoon highs in the mid-to-upper 80s Fahrenheit. This setup aligns with the market’s near-even split between 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F outcomes, as ensemble members diverge modestly on cloud cover and timing of any late-day heating. Regional climatology places the May 17 normal around 85 °F, so today’s readings sit slightly above average yet well below records; any unexpected clearing could push temperatures toward the 90–91 °F tier, while thicker clouds or earlier showers would favor the lower 80s. Updated model runs this evening will refine the final high before resolution.