Trader consensus overwhelmingly supports a high temperature of 76-77°F in Denver on May 16, driven by verified observational data from National Weather Service stations showing peak readings within that narrow band. Regional atmospheric patterns, including moderate westerly flow and minimal moisture advection along the Front Range, aligned with climatological norms for mid-May, where average highs typically range 70-75°F. Multiple station cross-checks and real-time model outputs reinforced this outcome, leaving little room for upward revisions. Final NOAA daily summaries expected in the coming days could provide additional confirmation, though current measurements already reflect the dominant scientific evidence. Unlikely scenarios such as post-event data adjustments or localized microclimate anomalies would be needed to shift the market positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on May 16?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 16?
76-77°F 100.0%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$62,481 Vol.
$62,481 Vol.
May 16, 2026
76-77°F
100%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 100.0%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$62,481 Vol.
$62,481 Vol.
May 16, 2026
76-77°F
$6,704 Vol.
100%
78-79°F
$4,061 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$5,130 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$5,105 Vol.
<1%
84°F or higher
$7,032 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly supports a high temperature of 76-77°F in Denver on May 16, driven by verified observational data from National Weather Service stations showing peak readings within that narrow band. Regional atmospheric patterns, including moderate westerly flow and minimal moisture advection along the Front Range, aligned with climatological norms for mid-May, where average highs typically range 70-75°F. Multiple station cross-checks and real-time model outputs reinforced this outcome, leaving little room for upward revisions. Final NOAA daily summaries expected in the coming days could provide additional confirmation, though current measurements already reflect the dominant scientific evidence. Unlikely scenarios such as post-event data adjustments or localized microclimate anomalies would be needed to shift the market positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$62,481End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly supports a high temperature of 76-77°F in Denver on May 16, driven by verified observational data from National Weather Service stations showing peak readings within that narrow band. Regional atmospheric patterns, including moderate westerly flow and minimal moisture advection along the Front Range, aligned with climatological norms for mid-May, where average highs typically range 70-75°F. Multiple station cross-checks and real-time model outputs reinforced this outcome, leaving little room for upward revisions. Final NOAA daily summaries expected in the coming days could provide additional confirmation, though current measurements already reflect the dominant scientific evidence. Unlikely scenarios such as post-event data adjustments or localized microclimate anomalies would be needed to shift the market positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$62,481End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus overwhelmingly supports a high temperature of 76-77°F in Denver on May 16, driven by verified observational data from National Weather Service stations showing peak readings within that narrow band. Regional atmospheric patterns, including moderate westerly flow and minimal moisture advection along the Front Range, aligned with climatological norms for mid-May, where average highs typically range 70-75°F. Multiple station cross-checks and real-time model outputs reinforced this outcome, leaving little room for upward revisions. Final NOAA daily summaries expected in the coming days could provide additional confirmation, though current measurements already reflect the dominant scientific evidence. Unlikely scenarios such as post-event data adjustments or localized microclimate anomalies would be needed to shift the market positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions