Official meteorological observations from the National Weather Service confirm that Denver’s highest temperature on May 16 reached 76–77°F, aligning with the market’s near-certain 99.9% implied probability. Surface station data, including automated readings at Denver International Airport and surrounding mesonet sites, recorded a daily maximum within this narrow band under stable high-pressure conditions and minimal afternoon heating. Historical climatology for mid-May shows typical highs around 70–75°F, making this outcome consistent with observed patterns. Future revisions to official records remain possible but would require documented measurement errors or station calibration issues, scenarios considered highly improbable given redundant sensor networks and post-event quality control.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on May 16?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 16?
76-77°F 100.0%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$62,441 Vol.
$62,441 Vol.
May 16, 2026
76-77°F
100%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 100.0%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$62,441 Vol.
$62,441 Vol.
May 16, 2026
76-77°F
$6,699 Vol.
100%
78-79°F
$4,056 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$5,121 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$5,094 Vol.
<1%
84°F or higher
$7,022 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from the National Weather Service confirm that Denver’s highest temperature on May 16 reached 76–77°F, aligning with the market’s near-certain 99.9% implied probability. Surface station data, including automated readings at Denver International Airport and surrounding mesonet sites, recorded a daily maximum within this narrow band under stable high-pressure conditions and minimal afternoon heating. Historical climatology for mid-May shows typical highs around 70–75°F, making this outcome consistent with observed patterns. Future revisions to official records remain possible but would require documented measurement errors or station calibration issues, scenarios considered highly improbable given redundant sensor networks and post-event quality control.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$62,441End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from the National Weather Service confirm that Denver’s highest temperature on May 16 reached 76–77°F, aligning with the market’s near-certain 99.9% implied probability. Surface station data, including automated readings at Denver International Airport and surrounding mesonet sites, recorded a daily maximum within this narrow band under stable high-pressure conditions and minimal afternoon heating. Historical climatology for mid-May shows typical highs around 70–75°F, making this outcome consistent with observed patterns. Future revisions to official records remain possible but would require documented measurement errors or station calibration issues, scenarios considered highly improbable given redundant sensor networks and post-event quality control.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$62,441End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official meteorological observations from the National Weather Service confirm that Denver’s highest temperature on May 16 reached 76–77°F, aligning with the market’s near-certain 99.9% implied probability. Surface station data, including automated readings at Denver International Airport and surrounding mesonet sites, recorded a daily maximum within this narrow band under stable high-pressure conditions and minimal afternoon heating. Historical climatology for mid-May shows typical highs around 70–75°F, making this outcome consistent with observed patterns. Future revisions to official records remain possible but would require documented measurement errors or station calibration issues, scenarios considered highly improbable given redundant sensor networks and post-event quality control.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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