Latest forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF ensembles indicate a modest daytime maximum near 16°C in Helsinki today, driven by moderate solar insolation under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow advecting mild Atlantic air. This positions the 16°C outcome as the clear market leader at 43.5% implied probability, with 17°C trailing at 30.5% amid minor model spread on boundary-layer mixing and high-cloud timing. Historical May climatology shows average highs of 15–16°C at Helsinki-Vantaa, so current conditions align closely with the seasonal baseline without strong warm or cool anomalies. Hourly observations through late afternoon will refine the peak before resolution, as subtle shifts in wind or insolation could still nudge the final reading into the 15–17°C range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Helsinki on May 17?
16°C 43%
17°C 31%
18°C 11.1%
15°C 5.1%
$24,431 Vol.
$24,431 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
5%
16°C
43%
17°C
31%
18°C
11%
19°C or higher
1%
16°C 43%
17°C 31%
18°C 11.1%
15°C 5.1%
$24,431 Vol.
$24,431 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
5%
16°C
43%
17°C
31%
18°C
11%
19°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKLatest forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF ensembles indicate a modest daytime maximum near 16°C in Helsinki today, driven by moderate solar insolation under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow advecting mild Atlantic air. This positions the 16°C outcome as the clear market leader at 43.5% implied probability, with 17°C trailing at 30.5% amid minor model spread on boundary-layer mixing and high-cloud timing. Historical May climatology shows average highs of 15–16°C at Helsinki-Vantaa, so current conditions align closely with the seasonal baseline without strong warm or cool anomalies. Hourly observations through late afternoon will refine the peak before resolution, as subtle shifts in wind or insolation could still nudge the final reading into the 15–17°C range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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