Current forecasts for Hong Kong on August 13 point to a daily maximum near 32–34 °C, aligning with market-implied odds clustered around those thresholds. Typical August climatology features highs averaging 31–32 °C, but the Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for August–October 2026 calls for normal to above-normal temperatures amid ongoing climate warming trends. Key variables include cloud cover, humidity levels near 80 %, and any weak steering flows that could modulate afternoon heating or trigger brief showers. Short-range model guidance shows modest spread, with urban heat-island effects and localized sea breezes adding further uncertainty to the precise peak reading. Updated HKO and numerical weather prediction runs expected overnight will likely refine the outcome range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 13?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 13?
33°C 41%
32°C 31%
34°C 17%
31°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
7%
32°C
31%
33°C
41%
34°C
17%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 41%
32°C 31%
34°C 17%
31°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
27°C or below
$413 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$949 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$167 Vol.
1%
30°C
$639 Vol.
3%
31°C
$202 Vol.
7%
32°C
$275 Vol.
31%
33°C
$1,217 Vol.
41%
34°C
$247 Vol.
17%
35°C
$466 Vol.
5%
36°C
$190 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$150 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts for Hong Kong on August 13 point to a daily maximum near 32–34 °C, aligning with market-implied odds clustered around those thresholds. Typical August climatology features highs averaging 31–32 °C, but the Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for August–October 2026 calls for normal to above-normal temperatures amid ongoing climate warming trends. Key variables include cloud cover, humidity levels near 80 %, and any weak steering flows that could modulate afternoon heating or trigger brief showers. Short-range model guidance shows modest spread, with urban heat-island effects and localized sea breezes adding further uncertainty to the precise peak reading. Updated HKO and numerical weather prediction runs expected overnight will likely refine the outcome range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$4,914End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts for Hong Kong on August 13 point to a daily maximum near 32–34 °C, aligning with market-implied odds clustered around those thresholds. Typical August climatology features highs averaging 31–32 °C, but the Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for August–October 2026 calls for normal to above-normal temperatures amid ongoing climate warming trends. Key variables include cloud cover, humidity levels near 80 %, and any weak steering flows that could modulate afternoon heating or trigger brief showers. Short-range model guidance shows modest spread, with urban heat-island effects and localized sea breezes adding further uncertainty to the precise peak reading. Updated HKO and numerical weather prediction runs expected overnight will likely refine the outcome range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,914End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Hong Kong on August 13 point to a daily maximum near 32–34 °C, aligning with market-implied odds clustered around those thresholds. Typical August climatology features highs averaging 31–32 °C, but the Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for August–October 2026 calls for normal to above-normal temperatures amid ongoing climate warming trends. Key variables include cloud cover, humidity levels near 80 %, and any weak steering flows that could modulate afternoon heating or trigger brief showers. Short-range model guidance shows modest spread, with urban heat-island effects and localized sea breezes adding further uncertainty to the precise peak reading. Updated HKO and numerical weather prediction runs expected overnight will likely refine the outcome range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions