Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory established a daily maximum temperature of 27°C on May 15, 2026, under persistent overcast skies, 83–89% relative humidity, and widespread thundery showers tied to a low-pressure trough over the South China Sea. This verified station reading, consistent with mid-May subtropical climatology where daytime highs typically range 26–29°C, anchors the market’s near-certain 27°C outcome as traders incorporate the precise resolution data rather than forecasts. Realistic challenges to this result would require abrupt sky clearance, sharply reduced humidity, and stronger solar insolation allowing prolonged radiative warming, though such conditions were absent amid the active trough and elevated moisture.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
27°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$290,878 Vol.
$290,878 Vol.
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$290,878 Vol.
$290,878 Vol.
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
$3,583 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,551 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,480 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,250 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$3,799 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$5,477 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$30,336 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$69,254 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$87,914 Vol.
100%
28°C
$45,393 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$35,841 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory established a daily maximum temperature of 27°C on May 15, 2026, under persistent overcast skies, 83–89% relative humidity, and widespread thundery showers tied to a low-pressure trough over the South China Sea. This verified station reading, consistent with mid-May subtropical climatology where daytime highs typically range 26–29°C, anchors the market’s near-certain 27°C outcome as traders incorporate the precise resolution data rather than forecasts. Realistic challenges to this result would require abrupt sky clearance, sharply reduced humidity, and stronger solar insolation allowing prolonged radiative warming, though such conditions were absent amid the active trough and elevated moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$290,878End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory established a daily maximum temperature of 27°C on May 15, 2026, under persistent overcast skies, 83–89% relative humidity, and widespread thundery showers tied to a low-pressure trough over the South China Sea. This verified station reading, consistent with mid-May subtropical climatology where daytime highs typically range 26–29°C, anchors the market’s near-certain 27°C outcome as traders incorporate the precise resolution data rather than forecasts. Realistic challenges to this result would require abrupt sky clearance, sharply reduced humidity, and stronger solar insolation allowing prolonged radiative warming, though such conditions were absent amid the active trough and elevated moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$290,878End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory established a daily maximum temperature of 27°C on May 15, 2026, under persistent overcast skies, 83–89% relative humidity, and widespread thundery showers tied to a low-pressure trough over the South China Sea. This verified station reading, consistent with mid-May subtropical climatology where daytime highs typically range 26–29°C, anchors the market’s near-certain 27°C outcome as traders incorporate the precise resolution data rather than forecasts. Realistic challenges to this result would require abrupt sky clearance, sharply reduced humidity, and stronger solar insolation allowing prolonged radiative warming, though such conditions were absent amid the active trough and elevated moisture.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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