Recent BMKG forecasts and ensemble model consensus for May 17 indicate a daily maximum of 32°C in Jakarta, driven by moderate humidity levels, limited afternoon convection, and stable steering patterns typical of the dry-season transition. Historical May averages near 32°C provide climatological context, with urban heat-island effects and peak solar insolation reinforcing this outcome under clear to partly cloudy skies. Traders assign near-certain probability to 32°C based on these verified atmospheric conditions from official monitoring. A later sea-breeze onset or unexpected convective cloud buildup could cap readings below this threshold, while reduced moisture and stronger insolation might allow a brief excursion to 33°C before official resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 17?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 17?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$71,481 Vol.
$71,481 Vol.
May 17, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$71,481 Vol.
$71,481 Vol.
May 17, 2026
27°C or below
$3,618 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,940 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,733 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$6,223 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$15,583 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$16,573 Vol.
100%
33°C
$11,839 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$5,091 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$2,792 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$2,670 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$2,420 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent BMKG forecasts and ensemble model consensus for May 17 indicate a daily maximum of 32°C in Jakarta, driven by moderate humidity levels, limited afternoon convection, and stable steering patterns typical of the dry-season transition. Historical May averages near 32°C provide climatological context, with urban heat-island effects and peak solar insolation reinforcing this outcome under clear to partly cloudy skies. Traders assign near-certain probability to 32°C based on these verified atmospheric conditions from official monitoring. A later sea-breeze onset or unexpected convective cloud buildup could cap readings below this threshold, while reduced moisture and stronger insolation might allow a brief excursion to 33°C before official resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$71,481End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent BMKG forecasts and ensemble model consensus for May 17 indicate a daily maximum of 32°C in Jakarta, driven by moderate humidity levels, limited afternoon convection, and stable steering patterns typical of the dry-season transition. Historical May averages near 32°C provide climatological context, with urban heat-island effects and peak solar insolation reinforcing this outcome under clear to partly cloudy skies. Traders assign near-certain probability to 32°C based on these verified atmospheric conditions from official monitoring. A later sea-breeze onset or unexpected convective cloud buildup could cap readings below this threshold, while reduced moisture and stronger insolation might allow a brief excursion to 33°C before official resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$71,481End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHRecent BMKG forecasts and ensemble model consensus for May 17 indicate a daily maximum of 32°C in Jakarta, driven by moderate humidity levels, limited afternoon convection, and stable steering patterns typical of the dry-season transition. Historical May averages near 32°C provide climatological context, with urban heat-island effects and peak solar insolation reinforcing this outcome under clear to partly cloudy skies. Traders assign near-certain probability to 32°C based on these verified atmospheric conditions from official monitoring. A later sea-breeze onset or unexpected convective cloud buildup could cap readings below this threshold, while reduced moisture and stronger insolation might allow a brief excursion to 33°C before official resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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