National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance currently point to partly cloudy skies over Miami with daytime highs in the upper 80s, creating the tight market split between the 86–87°F and 88–89°F brackets. Typical May climatology features normal maximum temperatures near 86°F at Miami International Airport, with subtropical high pressure and Atlantic sea breezes often moderating peak values by a few degrees depending on timing and wind direction. Recent model runs show modest spread in afternoon heating due to variable cloud cover and moisture, keeping the leading outcomes closely matched while limiting probability for 90°F or higher. Official resolution will rely on the verified daily high from the Miami station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on May 17?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 17?
86-87°F 41%
88-89°F 34%
84-85°F 21%
82-83°F 5.1%
$58,181 Vol.
$58,181 Vol.
May 17, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
21%
86-87°F
41%
88-89°F
34%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 41%
88-89°F 34%
84-85°F 21%
82-83°F 5.1%
$58,181 Vol.
$58,181 Vol.
May 17, 2026
75°F or below
$616 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$1,492 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$1,546 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$22,612 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$7,911 Vol.
5%
84-85°F
$6,630 Vol.
21%
86-87°F
$4,152 Vol.
41%
88-89°F
$4,241 Vol.
34%
90-91°F
$3,375 Vol.
4%
92-93°F
$3,906 Vol.
1%
94°F or higher
$1,958 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance currently point to partly cloudy skies over Miami with daytime highs in the upper 80s, creating the tight market split between the 86–87°F and 88–89°F brackets. Typical May climatology features normal maximum temperatures near 86°F at Miami International Airport, with subtropical high pressure and Atlantic sea breezes often moderating peak values by a few degrees depending on timing and wind direction. Recent model runs show modest spread in afternoon heating due to variable cloud cover and moisture, keeping the leading outcomes closely matched while limiting probability for 90°F or higher. Official resolution will rely on the verified daily high from the Miami station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$58,181End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance currently point to partly cloudy skies over Miami with daytime highs in the upper 80s, creating the tight market split between the 86–87°F and 88–89°F brackets. Typical May climatology features normal maximum temperatures near 86°F at Miami International Airport, with subtropical high pressure and Atlantic sea breezes often moderating peak values by a few degrees depending on timing and wind direction. Recent model runs show modest spread in afternoon heating due to variable cloud cover and moisture, keeping the leading outcomes closely matched while limiting probability for 90°F or higher. Official resolution will rely on the verified daily high from the Miami station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$58,181End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIANational Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance currently point to partly cloudy skies over Miami with daytime highs in the upper 80s, creating the tight market split between the 86–87°F and 88–89°F brackets. Typical May climatology features normal maximum temperatures near 86°F at Miami International Airport, with subtropical high pressure and Atlantic sea breezes often moderating peak values by a few degrees depending on timing and wind direction. Recent model runs show modest spread in afternoon heating due to variable cloud cover and moisture, keeping the leading outcomes closely matched while limiting probability for 90°F or higher. Official resolution will rely on the verified daily high from the Miami station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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