National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on May 17 point to a high near 86°F under mostly sunny skies with easterly winds of 9–13 mph, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 82–87°F range. Sea-breeze circulation from the Atlantic often caps daytime warming in South Florida by introducing cooler marine air after midday, while the current high-pressure ridge favors gradual heating without strong instability. May climatology at Miami International Airport shows normal highs of 86–87°F, with afternoon convection or thin cloud cover frequently trimming peaks by 1–3°F from model guidance. Updated NWS observations through late afternoon will resolve the final reading against these thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on May 17?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 17?
84-85°F 50%
86-87°F 27%
82-83°F 22.4%
88-89°F 6%
$65,063 Vol.
$65,063 Vol.
May 17, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
50%
86-87°F
27%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 50%
86-87°F 27%
82-83°F 22.4%
88-89°F 6%
$65,063 Vol.
$65,063 Vol.
May 17, 2026
75°F or below
$616 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$1,492 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$1,546 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$22,694 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$10,534 Vol.
22%
84-85°F
$7,961 Vol.
50%
86-87°F
$4,799 Vol.
27%
88-89°F
$5,301 Vol.
6%
90-91°F
$3,746 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$4,486 Vol.
1%
94°F or higher
$2,214 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on May 17 point to a high near 86°F under mostly sunny skies with easterly winds of 9–13 mph, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 82–87°F range. Sea-breeze circulation from the Atlantic often caps daytime warming in South Florida by introducing cooler marine air after midday, while the current high-pressure ridge favors gradual heating without strong instability. May climatology at Miami International Airport shows normal highs of 86–87°F, with afternoon convection or thin cloud cover frequently trimming peaks by 1–3°F from model guidance. Updated NWS observations through late afternoon will resolve the final reading against these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$65,063End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on May 17 point to a high near 86°F under mostly sunny skies with easterly winds of 9–13 mph, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 82–87°F range. Sea-breeze circulation from the Atlantic often caps daytime warming in South Florida by introducing cooler marine air after midday, while the current high-pressure ridge favors gradual heating without strong instability. May climatology at Miami International Airport shows normal highs of 86–87°F, with afternoon convection or thin cloud cover frequently trimming peaks by 1–3°F from model guidance. Updated NWS observations through late afternoon will resolve the final reading against these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$65,063End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIANational Weather Service forecasts for Miami on May 17 point to a high near 86°F under mostly sunny skies with easterly winds of 9–13 mph, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 82–87°F range. Sea-breeze circulation from the Atlantic often caps daytime warming in South Florida by introducing cooler marine air after midday, while the current high-pressure ridge favors gradual heating without strong instability. May climatology at Miami International Airport shows normal highs of 86–87°F, with afternoon convection or thin cloud cover frequently trimming peaks by 1–3°F from model guidance. Updated NWS observations through late afternoon will resolve the final reading against these thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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