Recent observational data and numerical weather prediction models from the German Weather Service and ECMWF show Munich temperatures climbing toward a peak of 30°C today under a stable high-pressure ridge with southerly advection of warmer air masses. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where historical maxima frequently reach 28–32°C, and current surface observations confirm the trajectory without significant cooling influences like increased cloud cover or frontal passages. Traders assign 100% implied probability to the 30°C outcome because resolution criteria hinge on official daily maximum readings, with model consensus narrowing uncertainty ranges. An unexpected convective cell or revised station measurement could still shift the final value, though such deviations appear unlikely given persistent synoptic conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 12?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 12?
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$80,751 Vol.
$80,751 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$80,751 Vol.
$80,751 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
26°C or below
$886 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,538 Vol.
No
28°C
$5,525 Vol.
No
29°C
$18,795 Vol.
No
30°C
$13,397 Vol.
Yes
31°C
$19,000 Vol.
No
32°C
$15,481 Vol.
No
33°C
$4,723 Vol.
No
34°C
$580 Vol.
No
35°C
$483 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$343 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and numerical weather prediction models from the German Weather Service and ECMWF show Munich temperatures climbing toward a peak of 30°C today under a stable high-pressure ridge with southerly advection of warmer air masses. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where historical maxima frequently reach 28–32°C, and current surface observations confirm the trajectory without significant cooling influences like increased cloud cover or frontal passages. Traders assign 100% implied probability to the 30°C outcome because resolution criteria hinge on official daily maximum readings, with model consensus narrowing uncertainty ranges. An unexpected convective cell or revised station measurement could still shift the final value, though such deviations appear unlikely given persistent synoptic conditions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$80,751End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and numerical weather prediction models from the German Weather Service and ECMWF show Munich temperatures climbing toward a peak of 30°C today under a stable high-pressure ridge with southerly advection of warmer air masses. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where historical maxima frequently reach 28–32°C, and current surface observations confirm the trajectory without significant cooling influences like increased cloud cover or frontal passages. Traders assign 100% implied probability to the 30°C outcome because resolution criteria hinge on official daily maximum readings, with model consensus narrowing uncertainty ranges. An unexpected convective cell or revised station measurement could still shift the final value, though such deviations appear unlikely given persistent synoptic conditions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$80,751End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent observational data and numerical weather prediction models from the German Weather Service and ECMWF show Munich temperatures climbing toward a peak of 30°C today under a stable high-pressure ridge with southerly advection of warmer air masses. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where historical maxima frequently reach 28–32°C, and current surface observations confirm the trajectory without significant cooling influences like increased cloud cover or frontal passages. Traders assign 100% implied probability to the 30°C outcome because resolution criteria hinge on official daily maximum readings, with model consensus narrowing uncertainty ranges. An unexpected convective cell or revised station measurement could still shift the final value, though such deviations appear unlikely given persistent synoptic conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions