Latest forecast models from major ensembles including the GFS and ECMWF project afternoon highs in Panama City reaching 33°C or above under strong solar insolation, light northwest winds, and limited cloud cover in the tropical lowland setting. This aligns with May climatology where daily maxima typically average 32–34°C, supporting the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for the 33°C threshold. Persistent morning convection or thicker cloud fields from the Intertropical Convergence Zone could cap temperatures near 32°C, though current observations and model consensus indicate low likelihood of such suppression today. Hourly METAR data from Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport will provide the definitive resolution as conditions evolve through peak heating hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on May 17?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 17?
33°C or higher 99.8%
32°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
$26,114 Vol.
$26,114 Vol.
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
100%
33°C or higher 99.8%
32°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
$26,114 Vol.
$26,114 Vol.
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
$494 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$442 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$662 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$759 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$930 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,033 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,562 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$9,013 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$4,603 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,853 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$3,764 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast models from major ensembles including the GFS and ECMWF project afternoon highs in Panama City reaching 33°C or above under strong solar insolation, light northwest winds, and limited cloud cover in the tropical lowland setting. This aligns with May climatology where daily maxima typically average 32–34°C, supporting the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for the 33°C threshold. Persistent morning convection or thicker cloud fields from the Intertropical Convergence Zone could cap temperatures near 32°C, though current observations and model consensus indicate low likelihood of such suppression today. Hourly METAR data from Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport will provide the definitive resolution as conditions evolve through peak heating hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$26,114End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast models from major ensembles including the GFS and ECMWF project afternoon highs in Panama City reaching 33°C or above under strong solar insolation, light northwest winds, and limited cloud cover in the tropical lowland setting. This aligns with May climatology where daily maxima typically average 32–34°C, supporting the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for the 33°C threshold. Persistent morning convection or thicker cloud fields from the Intertropical Convergence Zone could cap temperatures near 32°C, though current observations and model consensus indicate low likelihood of such suppression today. Hourly METAR data from Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport will provide the definitive resolution as conditions evolve through peak heating hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$26,114End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGLatest forecast models from major ensembles including the GFS and ECMWF project afternoon highs in Panama City reaching 33°C or above under strong solar insolation, light northwest winds, and limited cloud cover in the tropical lowland setting. This aligns with May climatology where daily maxima typically average 32–34°C, supporting the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for the 33°C threshold. Persistent morning convection or thicker cloud fields from the Intertropical Convergence Zone could cap temperatures near 32°C, though current observations and model consensus indicate low likelihood of such suppression today. Hourly METAR data from Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport will provide the definitive resolution as conditions evolve through peak heating hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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