**Trader consensus has converged on a 70-71°F high for San Francisco on June 13, 2026, at 99.7% implied probability because official observations from the San Francisco International Airport station aligned with that range.** Persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow from the Pacific kept daytime maxima suppressed near seasonal normals of 68-72°F, preventing the stronger warming seen inland or during earlier 2026 heat episodes. National Weather Service data and model guidance confirmed light winds, high relative humidity, and cloud cover that limited solar heating, consistent with climatological patterns for mid-June along the central California coast. Only a rapid erosion of the marine layer or an unexpected offshore wind shift could have pushed readings into the low 70s or higher, scenarios that did not materialize based on real-time surface observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 13?
70-71°F 99.7%
74-75°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
69°F or below <1%
$126,514 交易量
$126,514 交易量
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
100%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 99.7%
74-75°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
69°F or below <1%
$126,514 交易量
$126,514 交易量
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
100%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 11, 2026, 9:15 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus has converged on a 70-71°F high for San Francisco on June 13, 2026, at 99.7% implied probability because official observations from the San Francisco International Airport station aligned with that range.** Persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow from the Pacific kept daytime maxima suppressed near seasonal normals of 68-72°F, preventing the stronger warming seen inland or during earlier 2026 heat episodes. National Weather Service data and model guidance confirmed light winds, high relative humidity, and cloud cover that limited solar heating, consistent with climatological patterns for mid-June along the central California coast. Only a rapid erosion of the marine layer or an unexpected offshore wind shift could have pushed readings into the low 70s or higher, scenarios that did not materialize based on real-time surface observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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