Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a moderating air mass and possible showers or thunderstorms for Dallas on June 15, keeping the daily high well below the early-June climatological average near 91°F. Ensemble forecasts cluster between roughly 81–85°F depending on the exact timing of cloud cover and any convective cooling, which explains the tight market clustering around the 82–85°F bins. Key variables include the strength of northerly flow behind a weak front, boundary-layer moisture, and the degree of afternoon insolation once storms dissipate. Updated model runs and NWS forecast discussions expected through tonight will likely refine the most probable range before the market resolves.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Dallas on June 15?
82-83°F 29%
84-85°F 27%
80-81°F 22%
78-79°F 8%
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 29%
84-85°F 27%
80-81°F 22%
78-79°F 8%
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a moderating air mass and possible showers or thunderstorms for Dallas on June 15, keeping the daily high well below the early-June climatological average near 91°F. Ensemble forecasts cluster between roughly 81–85°F depending on the exact timing of cloud cover and any convective cooling, which explains the tight market clustering around the 82–85°F bins. Key variables include the strength of northerly flow behind a weak front, boundary-layer moisture, and the degree of afternoon insolation once storms dissipate. Updated model runs and NWS forecast discussions expected through tonight will likely refine the most probable range before the market resolves.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题