Cape Town’s Mediterranean winter climate typically produces daily highs near 17°C in mid-June, driven by the moderating influence of the cold Benguela Current and frequent passage of mid-latitude systems. Recent model guidance and observations point to a coastal low and associated showers lingering into June 14, followed by clearing and light easterly flow on the 15th that favors a maximum of 15–17°C rather than extremes. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread, with most runs clustering around 16°C under partly cloudy skies and minimal synoptic forcing for anomalous warming or cooling. Traders have therefore concentrated probability on 16°C (46.5 %), 17°C (28 %), and 15°C (23.5 %), reflecting the narrow range of plausible outcomes given current conditions and the short lead time to resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月15日开普敦气温最高？
6月15日开普敦气温最高？
16°C 46%
17°C 29%
15°C 25%
18°C 2.3%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
25%
16°C
46%
17°C
29%
18°C
2%
19℃
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C或更高
<1%
16°C 46%
17°C 29%
15°C 25%
18°C 2.3%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
11°C或以下
$98 交易量
<1%
12°C
$94 交易量
<1%
13°C
$226 交易量
<1%
14°C
$474 交易量
2%
15°C
$419 交易量
25%
16°C
$351 交易量
46%
17°C
$224 交易量
29%
18°C
$467 交易量
2%
19℃
$140 交易量
1%
20°C
$444 交易量
<1%
21°C或更高
$723 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cape Town’s Mediterranean winter climate typically produces daily highs near 17°C in mid-June, driven by the moderating influence of the cold Benguela Current and frequent passage of mid-latitude systems. Recent model guidance and observations point to a coastal low and associated showers lingering into June 14, followed by clearing and light easterly flow on the 15th that favors a maximum of 15–17°C rather than extremes. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread, with most runs clustering around 16°C under partly cloudy skies and minimal synoptic forcing for anomalous warming or cooling. Traders have therefore concentrated probability on 16°C (46.5 %), 17°C (28 %), and 15°C (23.5 %), reflecting the narrow range of plausible outcomes given current conditions and the short lead time to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$3,355结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cape Town’s Mediterranean winter climate typically produces daily highs near 17°C in mid-June, driven by the moderating influence of the cold Benguela Current and frequent passage of mid-latitude systems. Recent model guidance and observations point to a coastal low and associated showers lingering into June 14, followed by clearing and light easterly flow on the 15th that favors a maximum of 15–17°C rather than extremes. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread, with most runs clustering around 16°C under partly cloudy skies and minimal synoptic forcing for anomalous warming or cooling. Traders have therefore concentrated probability on 16°C (46.5 %), 17°C (28 %), and 15°C (23.5 %), reflecting the narrow range of plausible outcomes given current conditions and the short lead time to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,355结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ETCape Town’s Mediterranean winter climate typically produces daily highs near 17°C in mid-June, driven by the moderating influence of the cold Benguela Current and frequent passage of mid-latitude systems. Recent model guidance and observations point to a coastal low and associated showers lingering into June 14, followed by clearing and light easterly flow on the 15th that favors a maximum of 15–17°C rather than extremes. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread, with most runs clustering around 16°C under partly cloudy skies and minimal synoptic forcing for anomalous warming or cooling. Traders have therefore concentrated probability on 16°C (46.5 %), 17°C (28 %), and 15°C (23.5 %), reflecting the narrow range of plausible outcomes given current conditions and the short lead time to resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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