Strong model consensus from official forecasting agencies supports the market's overwhelming 97.6% implied probability for a 16°C daily maximum in Cape Town on June 14, aligning with typical mid-winter climatology where average highs range 15–17°C under the influence of the South Atlantic High and cooler Benguela Current. Recent ensemble runs show stable atmospheric conditions with limited diurnal warming and no significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative forcing expected to push temperatures higher. A 16°C outcome would match observed historical baselines for the date without triggering unusual anomalies. Only rare shifts in steering patterns or localized microclimate effects could realistically elevate readings to 17°C or above, though current guidance assigns these scenarios minimal likelihood.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月14日开普敦气温最高？
6月14日开普敦气温最高？
16°C 98.0%
17°C 1.1%
18°C <1%
19°C或更高 <1%
$24,531 交易量
$24,531 交易量
2026-06-14
9°C或以下
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
98%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C或更高
<1%
16°C 98.0%
17°C 1.1%
18°C <1%
19°C或更高 <1%
$24,531 交易量
$24,531 交易量
2026-06-14
9°C或以下
$1,615 交易量
<1%
10°C
$231 交易量
<1%
11°C
$539 交易量
<1%
12°C
$2,677 交易量
<1%
13°C
$3,854 交易量
<1%
14°C
$3,737 交易量
<1%
15°C
$3,267 交易量
<1%
16°C
$3,409 交易量
98%
17°C
$3,388 交易量
1%
18°C
$1,411 交易量
<1%
19°C或更高
$1,022 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from official forecasting agencies supports the market's overwhelming 97.6% implied probability for a 16°C daily maximum in Cape Town on June 14, aligning with typical mid-winter climatology where average highs range 15–17°C under the influence of the South Atlantic High and cooler Benguela Current. Recent ensemble runs show stable atmospheric conditions with limited diurnal warming and no significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative forcing expected to push temperatures higher. A 16°C outcome would match observed historical baselines for the date without triggering unusual anomalies. Only rare shifts in steering patterns or localized microclimate effects could realistically elevate readings to 17°C or above, though current guidance assigns these scenarios minimal likelihood.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
交易量
$24,531结束日期
2026-06-14市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from official forecasting agencies supports the market's overwhelming 97.6% implied probability for a 16°C daily maximum in Cape Town on June 14, aligning with typical mid-winter climatology where average highs range 15–17°C under the influence of the South Atlantic High and cooler Benguela Current. Recent ensemble runs show stable atmospheric conditions with limited diurnal warming and no significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative forcing expected to push temperatures higher. A 16°C outcome would match observed historical baselines for the date without triggering unusual anomalies. Only rare shifts in steering patterns or localized microclimate effects could realistically elevate readings to 17°C or above, though current guidance assigns these scenarios minimal likelihood.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$24,531结束日期
2026-06-14市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETStrong model consensus from official forecasting agencies supports the market's overwhelming 97.6% implied probability for a 16°C daily maximum in Cape Town on June 14, aligning with typical mid-winter climatology where average highs range 15–17°C under the influence of the South Atlantic High and cooler Benguela Current. Recent ensemble runs show stable atmospheric conditions with limited diurnal warming and no significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative forcing expected to push temperatures higher. A 16°C outcome would match observed historical baselines for the date without triggering unusual anomalies. Only rare shifts in steering patterns or localized microclimate effects could realistically elevate readings to 17°C or above, though current guidance assigns these scenarios minimal likelihood.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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