Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Houston on June 15 point to a maximum temperature centered in the mid-80s, with 84–85 °F and 86–87 °F ranges commanding the highest market-implied odds due to closely clustered deterministic and probabilistic forecasts. Key differentiating factors include the strength of daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, boundary-layer moisture from the Gulf, light southeasterly flow, and any late-day sea-breeze or convective cooling that could cap the peak. Short-term model runs show modest spread around these values, reflecting typical June variability and the inherent uncertainty in resolving the exact diurnal maximum 24 hours ahead.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月15日休斯顿的最高温度？
6月15日休斯顿的最高温度？
84-85°F 35%
86-87°F 31%
88-89°F 15%
82-83°F 11%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
75°F或以下
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
11%
84-85°F
35%
86-87°F
31%
88-89°F
15%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
1%
94°F或更高
<1%
84-85°F 35%
86-87°F 31%
88-89°F 15%
82-83°F 11%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
75°F或以下
$29 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$25 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$730 交易量
1%
80-81°F
$372 交易量
1%
82-83°F
$439 交易量
11%
84-85°F
$337 交易量
35%
86-87°F
$618 交易量
31%
88-89°F
$816 交易量
15%
90-91°F
$1,116 交易量
3%
92-93°F
$2,992 交易量
1%
94°F或更高
$1,060 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Houston on June 15 point to a maximum temperature centered in the mid-80s, with 84–85 °F and 86–87 °F ranges commanding the highest market-implied odds due to closely clustered deterministic and probabilistic forecasts. Key differentiating factors include the strength of daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, boundary-layer moisture from the Gulf, light southeasterly flow, and any late-day sea-breeze or convective cooling that could cap the peak. Short-term model runs show modest spread around these values, reflecting typical June variability and the inherent uncertainty in resolving the exact diurnal maximum 24 hours ahead.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 13, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
交易量
$8,515结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
Jun 13, 2026, 9:05 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Houston on June 15 point to a maximum temperature centered in the mid-80s, with 84–85 °F and 86–87 °F ranges commanding the highest market-implied odds due to closely clustered deterministic and probabilistic forecasts. Key differentiating factors include the strength of daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, boundary-layer moisture from the Gulf, light southeasterly flow, and any late-day sea-breeze or convective cooling that could cap the peak. Short-term model runs show modest spread around these values, reflecting typical June variability and the inherent uncertainty in resolving the exact diurnal maximum 24 hours ahead.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,515结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
Jun 13, 2026, 9:05 PM ETCurrent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Houston on June 15 point to a maximum temperature centered in the mid-80s, with 84–85 °F and 86–87 °F ranges commanding the highest market-implied odds due to closely clustered deterministic and probabilistic forecasts. Key differentiating factors include the strength of daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, boundary-layer moisture from the Gulf, light southeasterly flow, and any late-day sea-breeze or convective cooling that could cap the peak. Short-term model runs show modest spread around these values, reflecting typical June variability and the inherent uncertainty in resolving the exact diurnal maximum 24 hours ahead.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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