Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a daily high near 76–80°F in Denver on June 15, driven by northeast flow advecting cooler air and increasing cloud cover that limits afternoon heating. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting on the 78–81°F and 80–81°F bins, reflecting trader consensus around near-normal or slightly below-normal conditions relative to the 82–83°F climatological average. Recent model trends show modest cooling from earlier warm solutions, with limited instability expected to curb any strong diurnal rise. Key uncertainties include exact timing of any clearing and boundary-layer mixing; the next NWS forecast updates and morning soundings on June 15 will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Denver on June 15?
80-81°F 40%
78-79°F 25%
82-83°F 18.8%
76-77°F 8%
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
40%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
2%
88°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 40%
78-79°F 25%
82-83°F 18.8%
76-77°F 8%
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
40%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
2%
88°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a daily high near 76–80°F in Denver on June 15, driven by northeast flow advecting cooler air and increasing cloud cover that limits afternoon heating. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting on the 78–81°F and 80–81°F bins, reflecting trader consensus around near-normal or slightly below-normal conditions relative to the 82–83°F climatological average. Recent model trends show modest cooling from earlier warm solutions, with limited instability expected to curb any strong diurnal rise. Key uncertainties include exact timing of any clearing and boundary-layer mixing; the next NWS forecast updates and morning soundings on June 15 will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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