Recent National Weather Service forecasts point to a cooler air mass with northwest winds and mostly clear skies overnight into June 15, supporting radiative cooling that could push Central Park lows into the low-to-mid 60s°F, consistent with climatological early-summer patterns where average overnight minima hover near 62–67°F. Trader consensus favoring the 66–67°F bin likely reflects model spread on cloud timing, residual humidity from prior thunderstorms, and the urban heat island effect moderating extremes, while lower-probability bins below 64°F would require stronger clearing and drier air than current guidance shows. Upcoming model runs and evening observations will refine whether dew points and wind speeds sustain this range or allow further cooling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月15日纽约市最低气温?
66-67°F 43%
68-69华氏度 16%
64-65°F 14%
70-71°F 7%
55°F或以下
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
14%
66-67°F
43%
68-69华氏度
16%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
1%
74°F或更高
1%
66-67°F 43%
68-69华氏度 16%
64-65°F 14%
70-71°F 7%
55°F或以下
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
14%
66-67°F
43%
68-69华氏度
16%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
1%
74°F或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service forecasts point to a cooler air mass with northwest winds and mostly clear skies overnight into June 15, supporting radiative cooling that could push Central Park lows into the low-to-mid 60s°F, consistent with climatological early-summer patterns where average overnight minima hover near 62–67°F. Trader consensus favoring the 66–67°F bin likely reflects model spread on cloud timing, residual humidity from prior thunderstorms, and the urban heat island effect moderating extremes, while lower-probability bins below 64°F would require stronger clearing and drier air than current guidance shows. Upcoming model runs and evening observations will refine whether dew points and wind speeds sustain this range or allow further cooling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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