Trader sentiment for NYC's June 14 minimum temperature reflects model consensus on limited overnight cooling amid a warm, humid airmass, with 72–77°F bins holding over 68% combined implied probability. Key factors include persistent cloud cover reducing longwave radiative losses, light southerly flow advecting maritime air, and the urban heat island effect elevating Central Park and LaGuardia readings several degrees above rural analogs. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF shows only modest diurnal ranges, keeping the floor near 70°F, while slight spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds accounts for the close 72–73°F versus 76–77°F contest. Historical June minima average 62–67°F, underscoring how current conditions deviate from climatology. Updated NWS forecasts and hourly observations through evening will drive any late adjustments before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月14日纽约市最低气温？
6月14日纽约市最低气温？
76-77°F 31.0%
68-69°F 23%
74-75°F 23%
70-71°F 9%
$13,079 交易量
$13,079 交易量
2026-06-14
63°F或以下
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
18%
70-71°F
9%
72-73°F
37%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F或更高
<1%
76-77°F 31.0%
68-69°F 23%
74-75°F 23%
70-71°F 9%
$13,079 交易量
$13,079 交易量
2026-06-14
63°F或以下
$1,792 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$2,102 交易量
1%
66-67°F
$2,186 交易量
1%
68-69°F
$807 交易量
18%
70-71°F
$218 交易量
9%
72-73°F
$272 交易量
37%
74-75°F
$923 交易量
16%
76-77°F
$1,842 交易量
20%
78-79°F
$1,186 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$976 交易量
<1%
82°F或更高
$775 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for NYC's June 14 minimum temperature reflects model consensus on limited overnight cooling amid a warm, humid airmass, with 72–77°F bins holding over 68% combined implied probability. Key factors include persistent cloud cover reducing longwave radiative losses, light southerly flow advecting maritime air, and the urban heat island effect elevating Central Park and LaGuardia readings several degrees above rural analogs. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF shows only modest diurnal ranges, keeping the floor near 70°F, while slight spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds accounts for the close 72–73°F versus 76–77°F contest. Historical June minima average 62–67°F, underscoring how current conditions deviate from climatology. Updated NWS forecasts and hourly observations through evening will drive any late adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
交易量
$13,079结束日期
2026-06-14市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for NYC's June 14 minimum temperature reflects model consensus on limited overnight cooling amid a warm, humid airmass, with 72–77°F bins holding over 68% combined implied probability. Key factors include persistent cloud cover reducing longwave radiative losses, light southerly flow advecting maritime air, and the urban heat island effect elevating Central Park and LaGuardia readings several degrees above rural analogs. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF shows only modest diurnal ranges, keeping the floor near 70°F, while slight spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds accounts for the close 72–73°F versus 76–77°F contest. Historical June minima average 62–67°F, underscoring how current conditions deviate from climatology. Updated NWS forecasts and hourly observations through evening will drive any late adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,079结束日期
2026-06-14市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ETTrader sentiment for NYC's June 14 minimum temperature reflects model consensus on limited overnight cooling amid a warm, humid airmass, with 72–77°F bins holding over 68% combined implied probability. Key factors include persistent cloud cover reducing longwave radiative losses, light southerly flow advecting maritime air, and the urban heat island effect elevating Central Park and LaGuardia readings several degrees above rural analogs. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF shows only modest diurnal ranges, keeping the floor near 70°F, while slight spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds accounts for the close 72–73°F versus 76–77°F contest. Historical June minima average 62–67°F, underscoring how current conditions deviate from climatology. Updated NWS forecasts and hourly observations through evening will drive any late adjustments before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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