Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate Seattle-Tacoma International Airport highs of 89-91°F on June 15 amid a strong upper-level ridge and thermal trough promoting subsidence and clear skies, pushing temperatures 15-20°F above the mid-70s seasonal normal and threatening the 1963 record of 88°F. This consensus, reinforced by ECMWF and other runs showing persistent warm advection, underpins the combined 68.5% market-implied probability on the 88-91°F outcomes while the lower 11.5% on 86-87°F reflects residual uncertainty from potential marine layer influences or slight timing shifts in peak heating. Historical analogs of similar June heat events and ongoing Moderate HeatRisk advisories further anchor trader sentiment around these narrow bins ahead of final observational resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月15日西雅图气温最高？
6月15日西雅图气温最高？
90-91华氏度 38%
88-89°F 32%
86-87°F 9%
92-93°F 7.8%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
83°F或以下
2%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
32%
90-91华氏度
38%
92-93°F
8%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F或更高
<1%
90-91华氏度 38%
88-89°F 32%
86-87°F 9%
92-93°F 7.8%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
83°F或以下
$538 交易量
2%
84-85°F
$278 交易量
4%
86-87°F
$452 交易量
9%
88-89°F
$221 交易量
32%
90-91华氏度
$318 交易量
38%
92-93°F
$544 交易量
8%
94-95°F
$153 交易量
1%
96-97°F
$427 交易量
1%
98-99°F
$517 交易量
<1%
100-101°F
$199 交易量
<1%
102°F或更高
$196 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate Seattle-Tacoma International Airport highs of 89-91°F on June 15 amid a strong upper-level ridge and thermal trough promoting subsidence and clear skies, pushing temperatures 15-20°F above the mid-70s seasonal normal and threatening the 1963 record of 88°F. This consensus, reinforced by ECMWF and other runs showing persistent warm advection, underpins the combined 68.5% market-implied probability on the 88-91°F outcomes while the lower 11.5% on 86-87°F reflects residual uncertainty from potential marine layer influences or slight timing shifts in peak heating. Historical analogs of similar June heat events and ongoing Moderate HeatRisk advisories further anchor trader sentiment around these narrow bins ahead of final observational resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$3,833结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate Seattle-Tacoma International Airport highs of 89-91°F on June 15 amid a strong upper-level ridge and thermal trough promoting subsidence and clear skies, pushing temperatures 15-20°F above the mid-70s seasonal normal and threatening the 1963 record of 88°F. This consensus, reinforced by ECMWF and other runs showing persistent warm advection, underpins the combined 68.5% market-implied probability on the 88-91°F outcomes while the lower 11.5% on 86-87°F reflects residual uncertainty from potential marine layer influences or slight timing shifts in peak heating. Historical analogs of similar June heat events and ongoing Moderate HeatRisk advisories further anchor trader sentiment around these narrow bins ahead of final observational resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,833结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate Seattle-Tacoma International Airport highs of 89-91°F on June 15 amid a strong upper-level ridge and thermal trough promoting subsidence and clear skies, pushing temperatures 15-20°F above the mid-70s seasonal normal and threatening the 1963 record of 88°F. This consensus, reinforced by ECMWF and other runs showing persistent warm advection, underpins the combined 68.5% market-implied probability on the 88-91°F outcomes while the lower 11.5% on 86-87°F reflects residual uncertainty from potential marine layer influences or slight timing shifts in peak heating. Historical analogs of similar June heat events and ongoing Moderate HeatRisk advisories further anchor trader sentiment around these narrow bins ahead of final observational resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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