A warm, dry airmass under a persistent upper-level ridge and settling thermal trough is driving Seattle-Tacoma International Airport highs into the upper 80s on June 14, with the National Weather Service forecasting 87–89 °F. This setup favors strong daytime heating under mostly sunny skies and light northerly winds, pushing temperatures above the June average of roughly 74 °F. Latest model guidance and on-the-day observations align closely with the 88–89 °F bin, which holds the highest market-implied probability, while the 86–87 °F range captures residual uncertainty from minor timing or micro-climate variations. The heat wave, already the strongest of 2026, has produced consecutive above-normal days and keeps lower bins (below 86 °F or 90 °F+) at low single-digit odds absent an unexpected marine push or stronger onshore flow. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will determine final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seattle on June 14?
Highest temperature in Seattle on June 14?
88-89°F 54%
86-87°F 28%
90-91°F 3.7%
84-85°F 3.6%
$18,438 交易量
$18,438 交易量
2026-06-14
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
28%
88-89°F
54%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
1%
96°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 54%
86-87°F 28%
90-91°F 3.7%
84-85°F 3.6%
$18,438 交易量
$18,438 交易量
2026-06-14
77°F or below
$1,685 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$1,639 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$1,083 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$2,877 交易量
3%
84-85°F
$2,682 交易量
4%
86-87°F
$1,246 交易量
28%
88-89°F
$1,929 交易量
54%
90-91°F
$2,984 交易量
4%
92-93°F
$1,697 交易量
2%
94-95°F
$399 交易量
1%
96°F or higher
$709 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A warm, dry airmass under a persistent upper-level ridge and settling thermal trough is driving Seattle-Tacoma International Airport highs into the upper 80s on June 14, with the National Weather Service forecasting 87–89 °F. This setup favors strong daytime heating under mostly sunny skies and light northerly winds, pushing temperatures above the June average of roughly 74 °F. Latest model guidance and on-the-day observations align closely with the 88–89 °F bin, which holds the highest market-implied probability, while the 86–87 °F range captures residual uncertainty from minor timing or micro-climate variations. The heat wave, already the strongest of 2026, has produced consecutive above-normal days and keeps lower bins (below 86 °F or 90 °F+) at low single-digit odds absent an unexpected marine push or stronger onshore flow. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$18,438结束日期
2026-06-14市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A warm, dry airmass under a persistent upper-level ridge and settling thermal trough is driving Seattle-Tacoma International Airport highs into the upper 80s on June 14, with the National Weather Service forecasting 87–89 °F. This setup favors strong daytime heating under mostly sunny skies and light northerly winds, pushing temperatures above the June average of roughly 74 °F. Latest model guidance and on-the-day observations align closely with the 88–89 °F bin, which holds the highest market-implied probability, while the 86–87 °F range captures residual uncertainty from minor timing or micro-climate variations. The heat wave, already the strongest of 2026, has produced consecutive above-normal days and keeps lower bins (below 86 °F or 90 °F+) at low single-digit odds absent an unexpected marine push or stronger onshore flow. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$18,438结束日期
2026-06-14市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETA warm, dry airmass under a persistent upper-level ridge and settling thermal trough is driving Seattle-Tacoma International Airport highs into the upper 80s on June 14, with the National Weather Service forecasting 87–89 °F. This setup favors strong daytime heating under mostly sunny skies and light northerly winds, pushing temperatures above the June average of roughly 74 °F. Latest model guidance and on-the-day observations align closely with the 88–89 °F bin, which holds the highest market-implied probability, while the 86–87 °F range captures residual uncertainty from minor timing or micro-climate variations. The heat wave, already the strongest of 2026, has produced consecutive above-normal days and keeps lower bins (below 86 °F or 90 °F+) at low single-digit odds absent an unexpected marine push or stronger onshore flow. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will determine final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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