Current meteorological data from official Brazilian monitoring agencies indicate a daily maximum of 22°C for São Paulo today, driving the market’s near-certain consensus on this outcome. Latest model runs and surface observations align closely with the May climatological average high of 22°C, with stable atmospheric conditions limiting any significant deviation. Traders have incorporated real-time verification thresholds into their assessments, recognizing that resolution depends on the official recorded peak rather than forecasts alone. While minor local variations in measurement sites or brief late-day warming could theoretically alter the final figure, such shifts remain statistically improbable given the consistent observational record.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 17?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 17?
22°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$60,792 Vol.
$60,792 Vol.
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
100%
23°C or higher
<1%
22°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$60,792 Vol.
$60,792 Vol.
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
$2,467 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$710 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,223 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,471 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,226 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$3,599 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$2,217 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$7,983 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$14,150 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$13,302 Vol.
100%
23°C or higher
$12,609 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological data from official Brazilian monitoring agencies indicate a daily maximum of 22°C for São Paulo today, driving the market’s near-certain consensus on this outcome. Latest model runs and surface observations align closely with the May climatological average high of 22°C, with stable atmospheric conditions limiting any significant deviation. Traders have incorporated real-time verification thresholds into their assessments, recognizing that resolution depends on the official recorded peak rather than forecasts alone. While minor local variations in measurement sites or brief late-day warming could theoretically alter the final figure, such shifts remain statistically improbable given the consistent observational record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$60,792End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological data from official Brazilian monitoring agencies indicate a daily maximum of 22°C for São Paulo today, driving the market’s near-certain consensus on this outcome. Latest model runs and surface observations align closely with the May climatological average high of 22°C, with stable atmospheric conditions limiting any significant deviation. Traders have incorporated real-time verification thresholds into their assessments, recognizing that resolution depends on the official recorded peak rather than forecasts alone. While minor local variations in measurement sites or brief late-day warming could theoretically alter the final figure, such shifts remain statistically improbable given the consistent observational record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$60,792End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRCurrent meteorological data from official Brazilian monitoring agencies indicate a daily maximum of 22°C for São Paulo today, driving the market’s near-certain consensus on this outcome. Latest model runs and surface observations align closely with the May climatological average high of 22°C, with stable atmospheric conditions limiting any significant deviation. Traders have incorporated real-time verification thresholds into their assessments, recognizing that resolution depends on the official recorded peak rather than forecasts alone. While minor local variations in measurement sites or brief late-day warming could theoretically alter the final figure, such shifts remain statistically improbable given the consistent observational record.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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