Recent forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration highlights a strengthening subtropical high over the Pearl River Delta, positioning Shenzhen for daily maximum temperatures of 28–30°C on May 19 amid moderate humidity and partial cloud cover. Regional model consensus, including European Centre and Global Forecast System runs, shows limited onshore flow suppressing stronger heating while allowing peaks in the upper 20s Celsius, consistent with mid-May climatology where historical station data cluster around 29°C. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range of outcomes, with upcoming model updates and official briefings likely to clarify any shifts from evolving moisture patterns or wind steering.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 19?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 19?
29°C 30%
28°C 27%
30°C 25%
31°C 15%
NEW
NEW
May 19, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
6%
27°C
13%
28°C
27%
29°C
30%
30°C
25%
31°C
15%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
2%
29°C 30%
28°C 27%
30°C 25%
31°C 15%
NEW
NEW
May 19, 2026
23°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$20 Vol.
1%
25°C
$5 Vol.
4%
26°C
$5 Vol.
6%
27°C
$5 Vol.
13%
28°C
$13 Vol.
27%
29°C
$13 Vol.
30%
30°C
$5 Vol.
25%
31°C
$13 Vol.
15%
32°C
$5 Vol.
3%
33°C or higher
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration highlights a strengthening subtropical high over the Pearl River Delta, positioning Shenzhen for daily maximum temperatures of 28–30°C on May 19 amid moderate humidity and partial cloud cover. Regional model consensus, including European Centre and Global Forecast System runs, shows limited onshore flow suppressing stronger heating while allowing peaks in the upper 20s Celsius, consistent with mid-May climatology where historical station data cluster around 29°C. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range of outcomes, with upcoming model updates and official briefings likely to clarify any shifts from evolving moisture patterns or wind steering.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$99End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration highlights a strengthening subtropical high over the Pearl River Delta, positioning Shenzhen for daily maximum temperatures of 28–30°C on May 19 amid moderate humidity and partial cloud cover. Regional model consensus, including European Centre and Global Forecast System runs, shows limited onshore flow suppressing stronger heating while allowing peaks in the upper 20s Celsius, consistent with mid-May climatology where historical station data cluster around 29°C. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range of outcomes, with upcoming model updates and official briefings likely to clarify any shifts from evolving moisture patterns or wind steering.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$99End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZRecent forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration highlights a strengthening subtropical high over the Pearl River Delta, positioning Shenzhen for daily maximum temperatures of 28–30°C on May 19 amid moderate humidity and partial cloud cover. Regional model consensus, including European Centre and Global Forecast System runs, shows limited onshore flow suppressing stronger heating while allowing peaks in the upper 20s Celsius, consistent with mid-May climatology where historical station data cluster around 29°C. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range of outcomes, with upcoming model updates and official briefings likely to clarify any shifts from evolving moisture patterns or wind steering.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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