**Forecasts from major meteorological sources point to a daily high in Zhengzhou around 30–32 °C on 15 August 2026, positioning these bins as the leading market outcomes.** Multiple models, including those reflected on timeanddate.com and AccuWeather, project afternoon peaks near 31 °C under partly cloudy skies with isolated shower chances that could cap temperatures or allow brief clearing and warming. Typical August climatology for the region shows average highs near 30 °C, so current conditions align closely with seasonal norms rather than extreme heat. Low implied probabilities for outcomes above 32 °C or below 30 °C reflect limited model spread and the absence of strong high-pressure ridging or clear skies that would push readings higher. Updated model runs and official observations throughout the day remain the key variables that could shift the final recorded maximum before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 15?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 15?
31°C 43%
30°C 33%
32°C or higher 6.5%
22°C or below <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
33%
31°C
43%
32°C or higher
13%
31°C 43%
30°C 33%
32°C or higher 6.5%
22°C or below <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
$105 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$119 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$430 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$235 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1 Vol.
33%
31°C
$79 Vol.
43%
32°C or higher
$364 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from major meteorological sources point to a daily high in Zhengzhou around 30–32 °C on 15 August 2026, positioning these bins as the leading market outcomes.** Multiple models, including those reflected on timeanddate.com and AccuWeather, project afternoon peaks near 31 °C under partly cloudy skies with isolated shower chances that could cap temperatures or allow brief clearing and warming. Typical August climatology for the region shows average highs near 30 °C, so current conditions align closely with seasonal norms rather than extreme heat. Low implied probabilities for outcomes above 32 °C or below 30 °C reflect limited model spread and the absence of strong high-pressure ridging or clear skies that would push readings higher. Updated model runs and official observations throughout the day remain the key variables that could shift the final recorded maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$1,753End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from major meteorological sources point to a daily high in Zhengzhou around 30–32 °C on 15 August 2026, positioning these bins as the leading market outcomes.** Multiple models, including those reflected on timeanddate.com and AccuWeather, project afternoon peaks near 31 °C under partly cloudy skies with isolated shower chances that could cap temperatures or allow brief clearing and warming. Typical August climatology for the region shows average highs near 30 °C, so current conditions align closely with seasonal norms rather than extreme heat. Low implied probabilities for outcomes above 32 °C or below 30 °C reflect limited model spread and the absence of strong high-pressure ridging or clear skies that would push readings higher. Updated model runs and official observations throughout the day remain the key variables that could shift the final recorded maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,753End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts from major meteorological sources point to a daily high in Zhengzhou around 30–32 °C on 15 August 2026, positioning these bins as the leading market outcomes.** Multiple models, including those reflected on timeanddate.com and AccuWeather, project afternoon peaks near 31 °C under partly cloudy skies with isolated shower chances that could cap temperatures or allow brief clearing and warming. Typical August climatology for the region shows average highs near 30 °C, so current conditions align closely with seasonal norms rather than extreme heat. Low implied probabilities for outcomes above 32 °C or below 30 °C reflect limited model spread and the absence of strong high-pressure ridging or clear skies that would push readings higher. Updated model runs and official observations throughout the day remain the key variables that could shift the final recorded maximum before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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