In Panama City's tropical wet-season setting, overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and humidity drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–26°C, with 22°C as a close alternative. Persistent afternoon convection and scattered showers on August 28 limited clear-sky heat loss, keeping minimum temperatures near the seasonal 24°C baseline according to regional model runs. Light winds and high dew points further suppressed nocturnal drops, while any breaks in cloudiness or localized drainage flows could have allowed brief cooling toward the lower end of trader expectations. Official observations and updated forecast guidance released after sunset were the key near-term catalysts shaping consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on August 28?
22°C 92%
21°C 53%
25°C 49%
23°C 2.0%
$12,798 Vol.
$12,798 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
53%
22°C
92%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
49%
26°C
48%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
22°C 92%
21°C 53%
25°C 49%
23°C 2.0%
$12,798 Vol.
$12,798 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
20°C or below
$21 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$37 Vol.
53%
22°C
$37 Vol.
92%
23°C
$537 Vol.
2%
24°C
$37 Vol.
2%
25°C
$0 Vol.
49%
26°C
$43 Vol.
48%
27°C
$11,928 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$66 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$48 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$43 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.In Panama City's tropical wet-season setting, overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and humidity drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–26°C, with 22°C as a close alternative. Persistent afternoon convection and scattered showers on August 28 limited clear-sky heat loss, keeping minimum temperatures near the seasonal 24°C baseline according to regional model runs. Light winds and high dew points further suppressed nocturnal drops, while any breaks in cloudiness or localized drainage flows could have allowed brief cooling toward the lower end of trader expectations. Official observations and updated forecast guidance released after sunset were the key near-term catalysts shaping consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$12,798End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.In Panama City's tropical wet-season setting, overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and humidity drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–26°C, with 22°C as a close alternative. Persistent afternoon convection and scattered showers on August 28 limited clear-sky heat loss, keeping minimum temperatures near the seasonal 24°C baseline according to regional model runs. Light winds and high dew points further suppressed nocturnal drops, while any breaks in cloudiness or localized drainage flows could have allowed brief cooling toward the lower end of trader expectations. Official observations and updated forecast guidance released after sunset were the key near-term catalysts shaping consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,798End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...In Panama City's tropical wet-season setting, overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and humidity drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–26°C, with 22°C as a close alternative. Persistent afternoon convection and scattered showers on August 28 limited clear-sky heat loss, keeping minimum temperatures near the seasonal 24°C baseline according to regional model runs. Light winds and high dew points further suppressed nocturnal drops, while any breaks in cloudiness or localized drainage flows could have allowed brief cooling toward the lower end of trader expectations. Official observations and updated forecast guidance released after sunset were the key near-term catalysts shaping consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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