Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show overnight minimum temperatures in Seoul clustering tightly around 18–19°C on June 15, driven by moderate radiative cooling under partly clear skies and light easterly winds ahead of the East Asian summer monsoon. Historical early-June climatology places typical lows near 18°C, with current conditions reflecting typical pre-monsoon stability rather than anomalous warmth or cooling. Small differences between 18°C and 19°C outcomes hinge on exact cloud cover timing and urban heat-island modulation, introducing modest uncertainty that traders weigh against official station readings at Seoul’s central observatory. No major synoptic shifts are expected before the 15th.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月15日首尔最低气温?
18°C 38%
19°C 33%
20°C 11%
17°C 8%
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
8%
18°C
38%
19°C
33%
20°C
11%
21°C
6%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
18°C 38%
19°C 33%
20°C 11%
17°C 8%
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
8%
18°C
38%
19°C
33%
20°C
11%
21°C
6%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show overnight minimum temperatures in Seoul clustering tightly around 18–19°C on June 15, driven by moderate radiative cooling under partly clear skies and light easterly winds ahead of the East Asian summer monsoon. Historical early-June climatology places typical lows near 18°C, with current conditions reflecting typical pre-monsoon stability rather than anomalous warmth or cooling. Small differences between 18°C and 19°C outcomes hinge on exact cloud cover timing and urban heat-island modulation, introducing modest uncertainty that traders weigh against official station readings at Seoul’s central observatory. No major synoptic shifts are expected before the 15th.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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