Multiple official forecasts from agencies and models converge on a minimum temperature of 23–24°C for Wuhan on September 14, driven by warm, humid subtropical air under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and negligible overnight cooling. This sits above the long-term September average low near 21°C yet well within normal variability for the season. Trader sentiment remains split between the 18°C-or-below and 28°C-or-higher bins at 42.5% each because forecast ensembles still carry small but non-zero tails for stronger cold advection or unexpected clear-sky radiational cooling, while specific 22–25°C outcomes cluster around 20–23% as the consensus mode. Updated model runs and local observations through the evening of September 13 will further narrow these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wuhan on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on September 14?
18°C or below 83%
28°C or higher 83%
21°C 39%
26°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 14, 2026
18°C or below
83%
19°C
9%
20°C
10%
21°C
39%
22°C
23%
23°C
23%
24°C
22%
25°C
37%
26°C
39%
27°C
9%
28°C or higher
83%
18°C or below 83%
28°C or higher 83%
21°C 39%
26°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 14, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Vol.
83%
19°C
$0 Vol.
9%
20°C
$0 Vol.
10%
21°C
$0 Vol.
39%
22°C
$0 Vol.
23%
23°C
$0 Vol.
23%
24°C
$0 Vol.
22%
25°C
$0 Vol.
37%
26°C
$0 Vol.
39%
27°C
$0 Vol.
9%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
83%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Multiple official forecasts from agencies and models converge on a minimum temperature of 23–24°C for Wuhan on September 14, driven by warm, humid subtropical air under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and negligible overnight cooling. This sits above the long-term September average low near 21°C yet well within normal variability for the season. Trader sentiment remains split between the 18°C-or-below and 28°C-or-higher bins at 42.5% each because forecast ensembles still carry small but non-zero tails for stronger cold advection or unexpected clear-sky radiational cooling, while specific 22–25°C outcomes cluster around 20–23% as the consensus mode. Updated model runs and local observations through the evening of September 13 will further narrow these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Multiple official forecasts from agencies and models converge on a minimum temperature of 23–24°C for Wuhan on September 14, driven by warm, humid subtropical air under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and negligible overnight cooling. This sits above the long-term September average low near 21°C yet well within normal variability for the season. Trader sentiment remains split between the 18°C-or-below and 28°C-or-higher bins at 42.5% each because forecast ensembles still carry small but non-zero tails for stronger cold advection or unexpected clear-sky radiational cooling, while specific 22–25°C outcomes cluster around 20–23% as the consensus mode. Updated model runs and local observations through the evening of September 13 will further narrow these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Multiple official forecasts from agencies and models converge on a minimum temperature of 23–24°C for Wuhan on September 14, driven by warm, humid subtropical air under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and negligible overnight cooling. This sits above the long-term September average low near 21°C yet well within normal variability for the season. Trader sentiment remains split between the 18°C-or-below and 28°C-or-higher bins at 42.5% each because forecast ensembles still carry small but non-zero tails for stronger cold advection or unexpected clear-sky radiational cooling, while specific 22–25°C outcomes cluster around 20–23% as the consensus mode. Updated model runs and local observations through the evening of September 13 will further narrow these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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