United Russia maintains a commanding position in the Tomsk Oblast Legislative Duma election due to its established regional majority from the prior cycle, extensive candidate registration across all 21 single-mandate districts and party lists, and the mixed electoral system that favors incumbents. The vote, set for 18–20 September 2026 alongside the federal State Duma contest, occurs amid recent administrative actions including a September 11 court ruling that removed the Yabloko party list from the ballot. These factors align with patterns in other Russian regions where the ruling party secures top ballot placement and broad organizational support. Trader consensus at 97.2% reflects these structural and procedural realities, though shifts could still arise from unusually high opposition turnout or last-minute legal changes before polls close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUnited Russia 97.2%
CPRF <1%
LDPR <1%
A Just Russia <1%
$10,157 Vol.
$10,157 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
United Russia
97%
CPRF
1%
LDPR
1%
A Just Russia
<1%
New People
<1%
United Russia 97.2%
CPRF <1%
LDPR <1%
A Just Russia <1%
$10,157 Vol.
$10,157 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
United Russia
$6,148 Vol.
97%
CPRF
$1,114 Vol.
1%
LDPR
$661 Vol.
1%
A Just Russia
$755 Vol.
<1%
New People
$1,480 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Duma of Tomsk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Duma of Tomsk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Duma of Tomsk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tomsk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tomsk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding position in the Tomsk Oblast Legislative Duma election due to its established regional majority from the prior cycle, extensive candidate registration across all 21 single-mandate districts and party lists, and the mixed electoral system that favors incumbents. The vote, set for 18–20 September 2026 alongside the federal State Duma contest, occurs amid recent administrative actions including a September 11 court ruling that removed the Yabloko party list from the ballot. These factors align with patterns in other Russian regions where the ruling party secures top ballot placement and broad organizational support. Trader consensus at 97.2% reflects these structural and procedural realities, though shifts could still arise from unusually high opposition turnout or last-minute legal changes before polls close.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Duma of Tomsk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Duma of Tomsk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Duma of Tomsk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tomsk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tomsk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Duma of Tomsk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Duma of Tomsk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tomsk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tomsk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2026, 12:04 PM ET
Volume
$10,157End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 12:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Duma of Tomsk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Duma of Tomsk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Duma of Tomsk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tomsk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tomsk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding position in the Tomsk Oblast Legislative Duma election due to its established regional majority from the prior cycle, extensive candidate registration across all 21 single-mandate districts and party lists, and the mixed electoral system that favors incumbents. The vote, set for 18–20 September 2026 alongside the federal State Duma contest, occurs amid recent administrative actions including a September 11 court ruling that removed the Yabloko party list from the ballot. These factors align with patterns in other Russian regions where the ruling party secures top ballot placement and broad organizational support. Trader consensus at 97.2% reflects these structural and procedural realities, though shifts could still arise from unusually high opposition turnout or last-minute legal changes before polls close.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Duma of Tomsk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Duma of Tomsk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Duma of Tomsk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tomsk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tomsk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Duma of Tomsk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Duma of Tomsk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tomsk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tomsk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Volume
$10,157End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 12:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...United Russia maintains a commanding position in the Tomsk Oblast Legislative Duma election due to its established regional majority from the prior cycle, extensive candidate registration across all 21 single-mandate districts and party lists, and the mixed electoral system that favors incumbents. The vote, set for 18–20 September 2026 alongside the federal State Duma contest, occurs amid recent administrative actions including a September 11 court ruling that removed the Yabloko party list from the ballot. These factors align with patterns in other Russian regions where the ruling party secures top ballot placement and broad organizational support. Trader consensus at 97.2% reflects these structural and procedural realities, though shifts could still arise from unusually high opposition turnout or last-minute legal changes before polls close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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