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icon for US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?

US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?

icon for US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?

US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$14,141 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$14,141 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government or military publicly announces that the Civil Military Coordination Center (CMCC) located in Kiryat Gat, Israel will be shut down, absorbed into a successor entity, or that all United States military personnel will be withdrawn from the Center, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the announced shutdown, closure, transition, or withdrawal has actually occurred. Announcements of partial personnel reductions will not alone qualify. However, an announcement that CMCC will be absorbed into a successor entity may qualify even if some US military personnel remain in the successor entity. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus at 100% on "No" for a US announcement closing the Civil-Military Coordination Center by May 15 reflects the absence of any official statement from the White House, State Department, or Department of Defense confirming shutdown or full withdrawal of personnel. A May 1 Reuters report cited sources describing plans to fold the center's ceasefire monitoring and aid coordination functions into a smaller international stabilization force, yet the Trump-led Board of Peace immediately denied those plans and affirmed the center's ongoing role. No subsequent developments in Gaza truce talks or military operations produced the required public announcement before the deadline, leaving the outcome unchanged despite earlier speculation. Only an unanticipated last-minute diplomatic reversal would have shifted the result.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government or military publicly announces that the Civil Military Coordination Center (CMCC) located in Kiryat Gat, Israel will be shut down, absorbed into a successor entity, or that all United States military personnel will be withdrawn from the Center, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the announced shutdown, closure, transition, or withdrawal has actually occurred.

Announcements of partial personnel reductions will not alone qualify. However, an announcement that CMCC will be absorbed into a successor entity may qualify even if some US military personnel remain in the successor entity.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$14,141
End Date
May 15, 2026
Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government or military publicly announces that the Civil Military Coordination Center (CMCC) located in Kiryat Gat, Israel will be shut down, absorbed into a successor entity, or that all United States military personnel will be withdrawn from the Center, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the announced shutdown, closure, transition, or withdrawal has actually occurred. Announcements of partial personnel reductions will not alone qualify. However, an announcement that CMCC will be absorbed into a successor entity may qualify even if some US military personnel remain in the successor entity. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government or military publicly announces that the Civil Military Coordination Center (CMCC) located in Kiryat Gat, Israel will be shut down, absorbed into a successor entity, or that all United States military personnel will be withdrawn from the Center, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the announced shutdown, closure, transition, or withdrawal has actually occurred. Announcements of partial personnel reductions will not alone qualify. However, an announcement that CMCC will be absorbed into a successor entity may qualify even if some US military personnel remain in the successor entity. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus at 100% on "No" for a US announcement closing the Civil-Military Coordination Center by May 15 reflects the absence of any official statement from the White House, State Department, or Department of Defense confirming shutdown or full withdrawal of personnel. A May 1 Reuters report cited sources describing plans to fold the center's ceasefire monitoring and aid coordination functions into a smaller international stabilization force, yet the Trump-led Board of Peace immediately denied those plans and affirmed the center's ongoing role. No subsequent developments in Gaza truce talks or military operations produced the required public announcement before the deadline, leaving the outcome unchanged despite earlier speculation. Only an unanticipated last-minute diplomatic reversal would have shifted the result.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government or military publicly announces that the Civil Military Coordination Center (CMCC) located in Kiryat Gat, Israel will be shut down, absorbed into a successor entity, or that all United States military personnel will be withdrawn from the Center, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the announced shutdown, closure, transition, or withdrawal has actually occurred.

Announcements of partial personnel reductions will not alone qualify. However, an announcement that CMCC will be absorbed into a successor entity may qualify even if some US military personnel remain in the successor entity.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$14,141
End Date
May 15, 2026
Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government or military publicly announces that the Civil Military Coordination Center (CMCC) located in Kiryat Gat, Israel will be shut down, absorbed into a successor entity, or that all United States military personnel will be withdrawn from the Center, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the announced shutdown, closure, transition, or withdrawal has actually occurred. Announcements of partial personnel reductions will not alone qualify. However, an announcement that CMCC will be absorbed into a successor entity may qualify even if some US military personnel remain in the successor entity. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?" has generated $14.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.