Trader consensus at 100% on "No" for a US announcement closing the Civil-Military Coordination Center by May 15 reflects the absence of any official statement from the White House, State Department, or Department of Defense confirming shutdown or full withdrawal of personnel. A May 1 Reuters report cited sources describing plans to fold the center's ceasefire monitoring and aid coordination functions into a smaller international stabilization force, yet the Trump-led Board of Peace immediately denied those plans and affirmed the center's ongoing role. No subsequent developments in Gaza truce talks or military operations produced the required public announcement before the deadline, leaving the outcome unchanged despite earlier speculation. Only an unanticipated last-minute diplomatic reversal would have shifted the result.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$14,141 Vol.
$14,141 Vol.
$14,141 Vol.
$14,141 Vol.
A qualifying announcement within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the announced shutdown, closure, transition, or withdrawal has actually occurred.
Announcements of partial personnel reductions will not alone qualify. However, an announcement that CMCC will be absorbed into a successor entity may qualify even if some US military personnel remain in the successor entity.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 1, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
A qualifying announcement within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the announced shutdown, closure, transition, or withdrawal has actually occurred.
Announcements of partial personnel reductions will not alone qualify. However, an announcement that CMCC will be absorbed into a successor entity may qualify even if some US military personnel remain in the successor entity.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus at 100% on "No" for a US announcement closing the Civil-Military Coordination Center by May 15 reflects the absence of any official statement from the White House, State Department, or Department of Defense confirming shutdown or full withdrawal of personnel. A May 1 Reuters report cited sources describing plans to fold the center's ceasefire monitoring and aid coordination functions into a smaller international stabilization force, yet the Trump-led Board of Peace immediately denied those plans and affirmed the center's ongoing role. No subsequent developments in Gaza truce talks or military operations produced the required public announcement before the deadline, leaving the outcome unchanged despite earlier speculation. Only an unanticipated last-minute diplomatic reversal would have shifted the result.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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