Recent developments, including Rep. Al Green’s August 24, 2026, introduction of articles of impeachment citing alleged abuses in ICE and CBP operations, underscore ongoing Democratic pressure amid immigration enforcement controversies and related fatalities. Traders price the 67.5% “Yes” odds primarily on expectations that Democrats will secure a House majority in the November 2026 midterms, enabling passage of articles by simple majority before the term concludes in January 2029. Public polling has shown consistent majority support for pursuing impeachment on various grounds, while prior resolutions and Trump’s own statements about likely future proceedings reinforce the consensus. Senate conviction remains a high bar requiring two-thirds support, but the market focuses solely on House action. Midterm outcomes and any subsequent investigations will determine whether these probabilities shift.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated67% chance
$94,580 Vol.
$94,580 Vol.
Jan 19, 2029
67% chance
$94,580 Vol.
$94,580 Vol.
Jan 19, 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Recent developments, including Rep. Al Green’s August 24, 2026, introduction of articles of impeachment citing alleged abuses in ICE and CBP operations, underscore ongoing Democratic pressure amid immigration enforcement controversies and related fatalities. Traders price the 67.5% “Yes” odds primarily on expectations that Democrats will secure a House majority in the November 2026 midterms, enabling passage of articles by simple majority before the term concludes in January 2029. Public polling has shown consistent majority support for pursuing impeachment on various grounds, while prior resolutions and Trump’s own statements about likely future proceedings reinforce the consensus. Senate conviction remains a high bar requiring two-thirds support, but the market focuses solely on House action. Midterm outcomes and any subsequent investigations will determine whether these probabilities shift.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Market Opened: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volume
$94,580End Date
Jan 20, 2029Market Opened
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Recent developments, including Rep. Al Green’s August 24, 2026, introduction of articles of impeachment citing alleged abuses in ICE and CBP operations, underscore ongoing Democratic pressure amid immigration enforcement controversies and related fatalities. Traders price the 67.5% “Yes” odds primarily on expectations that Democrats will secure a House majority in the November 2026 midterms, enabling passage of articles by simple majority before the term concludes in January 2029. Public polling has shown consistent majority support for pursuing impeachment on various grounds, while prior resolutions and Trump’s own statements about likely future proceedings reinforce the consensus. Senate conviction remains a high bar requiring two-thirds support, but the market focuses solely on House action. Midterm outcomes and any subsequent investigations will determine whether these probabilities shift.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$94,580End Date
Jan 20, 2029Market Opened
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent developments, including Rep. Al Green’s August 24, 2026, introduction of articles of impeachment citing alleged abuses in ICE and CBP operations, underscore ongoing Democratic pressure amid immigration enforcement controversies and related fatalities. Traders price the 67.5% “Yes” odds primarily on expectations that Democrats will secure a House majority in the November 2026 midterms, enabling passage of articles by simple majority before the term concludes in January 2029. Public polling has shown consistent majority support for pursuing impeachment on various grounds, while prior resolutions and Trump’s own statements about likely future proceedings reinforce the consensus. Senate conviction remains a high bar requiring two-thirds support, but the market focuses solely on House action. Midterm outcomes and any subsequent investigations will determine whether these probabilities shift.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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