Skip to main content
icon for Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?
Politics·Trump

Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?

icon for Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?
Politics·Trump

Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?

Dec 31

Dec 31

8% chance
Polymarket

$15,673 Vol.

8% chance
Polymarket

$15,673 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used. The passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act in July 2025 permanently extended key elements of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, including full expensing, research deductions, and pass-through relief, while leaving the 21 percent corporate rate unchanged. With Republicans controlling Congress and the White House, legislative priorities in 2026 have shifted toward tariffs, spending restraint, and targeted individual provisions rather than another round of rate reductions. This timing, combined with the fiscal impact of prior cuts, has produced strong trader consensus against any statutory corporate rate cut before 2027. Additional legislation via reconciliation remains possible in the final months of the current session, though no such measure has advanced.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Volume
$15,673
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used. The passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act in July 2025 permanently extended key elements of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, including full expensing, research deductions, and pass-through relief, while leaving the 21 percent corporate rate unchanged. With Republicans controlling Congress and the White House, legislative priorities in 2026 have shifted toward tariffs, spending restraint, and targeted individual provisions rather than another round of rate reductions. This timing, combined with the fiscal impact of prior cuts, has produced strong trader consensus against any statutory corporate rate cut before 2027. Additional legislation via reconciliation remains possible in the final months of the current session, though no such measure has advanced.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Volume
$15,673
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Related

icon for Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?

6%
icon for U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?

27%
icon for Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?

Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?

5%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 8% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 8¢, the market collectively assigns a 8% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?" has generated $15.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?" is 8% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 8% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.