Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus project a daily high temperature in Austin well above 90°F on May 16, driven by strong southerly flow advecting warm, moist Gulf air under mostly clear skies that maximize daytime heating. This positioning reflects both the season’s typical late-spring climatology for central Texas and the absence of any significant frontal passages or cloud build-up in recent model runs. While historical May extremes occasionally reach the mid-90s, today’s implied probability near 100 percent for 90°F or higher rests on verified observational trends and short-range guidance showing minimal uncertainty in peak values. Only an unexpected surge of drier, northerly air or rapid afternoon convection could cap the high below that threshold, scenarios assigned negligible odds in the latest updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Austin on May 16?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 16?
90°F or higher 100.0%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$55,845 Vol.
$55,845 Vol.
16 mai 2026
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
100%
90°F or higher 100.0%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$55,845 Vol.
$55,845 Vol.
16 mai 2026
84-85°F
$2,542 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$6,895 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$7,177 Vol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$8,620 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus project a daily high temperature in Austin well above 90°F on May 16, driven by strong southerly flow advecting warm, moist Gulf air under mostly clear skies that maximize daytime heating. This positioning reflects both the season’s typical late-spring climatology for central Texas and the absence of any significant frontal passages or cloud build-up in recent model runs. While historical May extremes occasionally reach the mid-90s, today’s implied probability near 100 percent for 90°F or higher rests on verified observational trends and short-range guidance showing minimal uncertainty in peak values. Only an unexpected surge of drier, northerly air or rapid afternoon convection could cap the high below that threshold, scenarios assigned negligible odds in the latest updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Volume
$55,845Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus project a daily high temperature in Austin well above 90°F on May 16, driven by strong southerly flow advecting warm, moist Gulf air under mostly clear skies that maximize daytime heating. This positioning reflects both the season’s typical late-spring climatology for central Texas and the absence of any significant frontal passages or cloud build-up in recent model runs. While historical May extremes occasionally reach the mid-90s, today’s implied probability near 100 percent for 90°F or higher rests on verified observational trends and short-range guidance showing minimal uncertainty in peak values. Only an unexpected surge of drier, northerly air or rapid afternoon convection could cap the high below that threshold, scenarios assigned negligible odds in the latest updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$55,845Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus project a daily high temperature in Austin well above 90°F on May 16, driven by strong southerly flow advecting warm, moist Gulf air under mostly clear skies that maximize daytime heating. This positioning reflects both the season’s typical late-spring climatology for central Texas and the absence of any significant frontal passages or cloud build-up in recent model runs. While historical May extremes occasionally reach the mid-90s, today’s implied probability near 100 percent for 90°F or higher rests on verified observational trends and short-range guidance showing minimal uncertainty in peak values. Only an unexpected surge of drier, northerly air or rapid afternoon convection could cap the high below that threshold, scenarios assigned negligible odds in the latest updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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