The market's overwhelming 99.9% consensus on 23°C as Istanbul's highest temperature today reflects real-time forecast guidance from official meteorological agencies showing stable conditions under a typical early-summer high-pressure system, with daytime maxima aligning precisely to that threshold based on ensemble model runs and surface observations. Historical June averages for the region hover near 23–25°C, and current data show no anomalous warming or cooling influences such as strong advection or cloud cover shifts that would alter the peak. Resolution hinges on the final verified daily maximum from standardized stations, with minimal uncertainty remaining as the measurement window closes. Unexpected model revisions or localized urban heat effects remain the only realistic variables that could shift the outcome, though current consensus across agencies makes such deviations improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 9?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 9?
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$47,886 Vol.
$47,886 Vol.
9 juin 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$47,886 Vol.
$47,886 Vol.
9 juin 2026
18°C or below
$1,299 Vol.
No
19°C
$254 Vol.
No
20°C
$6,531 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,953 Vol.
No
22°C
$11,622 Vol.
No
23°C
$9,839 Vol.
Yes
24°C
$4,758 Vol.
No
25°C
$3,944 Vol.
No
26°C
$2,805 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,794 Vol.
No
28°C or higher
$1,088 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's overwhelming 99.9% consensus on 23°C as Istanbul's highest temperature today reflects real-time forecast guidance from official meteorological agencies showing stable conditions under a typical early-summer high-pressure system, with daytime maxima aligning precisely to that threshold based on ensemble model runs and surface observations. Historical June averages for the region hover near 23–25°C, and current data show no anomalous warming or cooling influences such as strong advection or cloud cover shifts that would alter the peak. Resolution hinges on the final verified daily maximum from standardized stations, with minimal uncertainty remaining as the measurement window closes. Unexpected model revisions or localized urban heat effects remain the only realistic variables that could shift the outcome, though current consensus across agencies makes such deviations improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 7, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$47,886Date de fin
9 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 7, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's overwhelming 99.9% consensus on 23°C as Istanbul's highest temperature today reflects real-time forecast guidance from official meteorological agencies showing stable conditions under a typical early-summer high-pressure system, with daytime maxima aligning precisely to that threshold based on ensemble model runs and surface observations. Historical June averages for the region hover near 23–25°C, and current data show no anomalous warming or cooling influences such as strong advection or cloud cover shifts that would alter the peak. Resolution hinges on the final verified daily maximum from standardized stations, with minimal uncertainty remaining as the measurement window closes. Unexpected model revisions or localized urban heat effects remain the only realistic variables that could shift the outcome, though current consensus across agencies makes such deviations improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$47,886Date de fin
9 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 7, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
The market's overwhelming 99.9% consensus on 23°C as Istanbul's highest temperature today reflects real-time forecast guidance from official meteorological agencies showing stable conditions under a typical early-summer high-pressure system, with daytime maxima aligning precisely to that threshold based on ensemble model runs and surface observations. Historical June averages for the region hover near 23–25°C, and current data show no anomalous warming or cooling influences such as strong advection or cloud cover shifts that would alter the peak. Resolution hinges on the final verified daily maximum from standardized stations, with minimal uncertainty remaining as the measurement window closes. Unexpected model revisions or localized urban heat effects remain the only realistic variables that could shift the outcome, though current consensus across agencies makes such deviations improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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