Recent European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Deutscher Wetterdienst model runs show a moderate high-pressure ridge over southern Germany tomorrow, with daytime maximum temperatures in Munich expected to reach 15–16 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. This places the market’s leading 16 °C outcome at 46.5 % implied probability squarely in line with ensemble consensus, while the 15 °C and 17 °C brackets capture the remaining model spread. Mid-May climatological normals for Munich sit near 17–19 °C, so the current cool anomaly—driven by persistent Atlantic air advection—explains why probabilities cluster below the seasonal average. Traders are watching the next DWD update and any last-minute clearing that could push the peak one degree higher before the daily maximum is recorded.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Munich le 17 mai ?
La température la plus élevée à Munich le 17 mai ?
16°C 48%
15°C 24%
17°C 20%
18°C 4.0%
NOUVEAU
$13,561 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$13,561 Vol.
17 mai 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
24%
16°C
48%
17°C
20%
18°C
4%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 48%
15°C 24%
17°C 20%
18°C 4.0%
NOUVEAU
$13,561 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$13,561 Vol.
17 mai 2026
11°C or below
$562 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$924 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,993 Vol.
1%
14°C
$1,177 Vol.
3%
15°C
$1,679 Vol.
24%
16°C
$1,521 Vol.
48%
17°C
$1,334 Vol.
20%
18°C
$1,012 Vol.
4%
19°C
$811 Vol.
1%
20°C
$919 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$1,628 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Deutscher Wetterdienst model runs show a moderate high-pressure ridge over southern Germany tomorrow, with daytime maximum temperatures in Munich expected to reach 15–16 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. This places the market’s leading 16 °C outcome at 46.5 % implied probability squarely in line with ensemble consensus, while the 15 °C and 17 °C brackets capture the remaining model spread. Mid-May climatological normals for Munich sit near 17–19 °C, so the current cool anomaly—driven by persistent Atlantic air advection—explains why probabilities cluster below the seasonal average. Traders are watching the next DWD update and any last-minute clearing that could push the peak one degree higher before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$13,561Date de fin
17 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Deutscher Wetterdienst model runs show a moderate high-pressure ridge over southern Germany tomorrow, with daytime maximum temperatures in Munich expected to reach 15–16 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. This places the market’s leading 16 °C outcome at 46.5 % implied probability squarely in line with ensemble consensus, while the 15 °C and 17 °C brackets capture the remaining model spread. Mid-May climatological normals for Munich sit near 17–19 °C, so the current cool anomaly—driven by persistent Atlantic air advection—explains why probabilities cluster below the seasonal average. Traders are watching the next DWD update and any last-minute clearing that could push the peak one degree higher before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$13,561Date de fin
17 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMRecent European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Deutscher Wetterdienst model runs show a moderate high-pressure ridge over southern Germany tomorrow, with daytime maximum temperatures in Munich expected to reach 15–16 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. This places the market’s leading 16 °C outcome at 46.5 % implied probability squarely in line with ensemble consensus, while the 15 °C and 17 °C brackets capture the remaining model spread. Mid-May climatological normals for Munich sit near 17–19 °C, so the current cool anomaly—driven by persistent Atlantic air advection—explains why probabilities cluster below the seasonal average. Traders are watching the next DWD update and any last-minute clearing that could push the peak one degree higher before the daily maximum is recorded.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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