Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and regional models place Tel Aviv’s May 18 maximum near the 29–30 °C threshold, creating the tight market split between those two outcomes. Typical May coastal climatology features diurnal warming under subtropical high pressure, tempered by a strengthening sea breeze that often caps afternoon peaks; slight differences in model runs hinge on wind direction, cloud cover timing, and boundary-layer moisture. Historical analogs for mid-May show daily highs averaging 26–28 °C, so any modest suppression of the marine layer or reduced onshore flow could push readings to 31 °C while persistent sea-breeze cooling would favor 28 °C or lower. Traders are therefore watching the next 12–18 hours of updated guidance and real-time observations for the final resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 18 mai ?
La température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 18 mai ?
29°C 35%
30°C 30%
31°C 20%
28°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 mai 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
8%
29°C
35%
30°C
30%
31°C
20%
32°C or higher
5%
29°C 35%
30°C 30%
31°C 20%
28°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 mai 2026
22°C or below
$859 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$425 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$255 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$162 Vol.
1%
26°C
$141 Vol.
1%
27°C
$193 Vol.
3%
28°C
$492 Vol.
8%
29°C
$425 Vol.
35%
30°C
$572 Vol.
30%
31°C
$285 Vol.
20%
32°C or higher
$452 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and regional models place Tel Aviv’s May 18 maximum near the 29–30 °C threshold, creating the tight market split between those two outcomes. Typical May coastal climatology features diurnal warming under subtropical high pressure, tempered by a strengthening sea breeze that often caps afternoon peaks; slight differences in model runs hinge on wind direction, cloud cover timing, and boundary-layer moisture. Historical analogs for mid-May show daily highs averaging 26–28 °C, so any modest suppression of the marine layer or reduced onshore flow could push readings to 31 °C while persistent sea-breeze cooling would favor 28 °C or lower. Traders are therefore watching the next 12–18 hours of updated guidance and real-time observations for the final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$4,256Date de fin
18 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and regional models place Tel Aviv’s May 18 maximum near the 29–30 °C threshold, creating the tight market split between those two outcomes. Typical May coastal climatology features diurnal warming under subtropical high pressure, tempered by a strengthening sea breeze that often caps afternoon peaks; slight differences in model runs hinge on wind direction, cloud cover timing, and boundary-layer moisture. Historical analogs for mid-May show daily highs averaging 26–28 °C, so any modest suppression of the marine layer or reduced onshore flow could push readings to 31 °C while persistent sea-breeze cooling would favor 28 °C or lower. Traders are therefore watching the next 12–18 hours of updated guidance and real-time observations for the final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,256Date de fin
18 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETCurrent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and regional models place Tel Aviv’s May 18 maximum near the 29–30 °C threshold, creating the tight market split between those two outcomes. Typical May coastal climatology features diurnal warming under subtropical high pressure, tempered by a strengthening sea breeze that often caps afternoon peaks; slight differences in model runs hinge on wind direction, cloud cover timing, and boundary-layer moisture. Historical analogs for mid-May show daily highs averaging 26–28 °C, so any modest suppression of the marine layer or reduced onshore flow could push readings to 31 °C while persistent sea-breeze cooling would favor 28 °C or lower. Traders are therefore watching the next 12–18 hours of updated guidance and real-time observations for the final resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes