Ülle Madise holds a commanding lead in the market for Estonia’s next president following her unopposed election by the Riigikogu on September 2, 2026, with 71 of 101 votes—surpassing the required two-thirds majority. As Chancellor of Justice since 2015, she secured cross-party nominations from the Reform Party, Social Democrats, Estonia 200, and Isamaa after incumbent Alar Karis declined to seek a second term. No rival obtained the 21 signatures needed to register, reflecting broad parliamentary consensus around her constitutional expertise and independent profile. Trader pricing at 98% for Madise aligns with the completed parliamentary process; her October 12 inauguration would trigger resolution. Late developments capable of altering the outcome remain improbable given the finalized vote, though unforeseen events before the swearing-in could theoretically intervene.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÜlle Madise 98.0%
Indrek Laul <1%
Mart Helme <1%
Riho Ühtegi <1%
$59,038 Vol.
$59,038 Vol.
Ülle Madise
98%
Indrek Laul
1%
Mart Helme
<1%
Riho Ühtegi
<1%
Jonatan Vseviov
<1%
Maive Rute
<1%
Indrek Tarand
<1%
Hannes Hanso
<1%
Riina Kionka
<1%
Ülle Madise 98.0%
Indrek Laul <1%
Mart Helme <1%
Riho Ühtegi <1%
$59,038 Vol.
$59,038 Vol.
Ülle Madise
98%
Indrek Laul
1%
Mart Helme
<1%
Riho Ühtegi
<1%
Jonatan Vseviov
<1%
Maive Rute
<1%
Indrek Tarand
<1%
Hannes Hanso
<1%
Riina Kionka
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of Estonia by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in as President of Estonia. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President takes office by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Estonia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of Estonia by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in as President of Estonia. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President takes office by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Estonia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Ülle Madise holds a commanding lead in the market for Estonia’s next president following her unopposed election by the Riigikogu on September 2, 2026, with 71 of 101 votes—surpassing the required two-thirds majority. As Chancellor of Justice since 2015, she secured cross-party nominations from the Reform Party, Social Democrats, Estonia 200, and Isamaa after incumbent Alar Karis declined to seek a second term. No rival obtained the 21 signatures needed to register, reflecting broad parliamentary consensus around her constitutional expertise and independent profile. Trader pricing at 98% for Madise aligns with the completed parliamentary process; her October 12 inauguration would trigger resolution. Late developments capable of altering the outcome remain improbable given the finalized vote, though unforeseen events before the swearing-in could theoretically intervene.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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