The September 3, 2026 by-election results position Liberal candidate Ahsanul Hafiz firmly in second place behind NDP frontrunner Fatima Shaban, aligning with pre-vote polling averages and the riding's recent history of NDP strength. Shaban benefited from established party support on local issues such as housing and affordability following Doly Begum's resignation, while Hafiz consolidated Liberal backing after securing the nomination and leveraging his business and community profile. Progressive Conservative candidate Noor Tarun and others trailed further back, limiting challenges to the middle position. Official Elections Ontario tallies would need substantial adjustments from reported shares or an unforeseen surge by a minor contender to alter the outcome, though such shifts remain improbable given the confirmed margins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAhsanul Hafiz 99.8%
Fatima Shaban <1%
Noor Tarun <1%
Mark Bekkering <1%
$3,322 Vol.
$3,322 Vol.
Fatima Shaban
Non
Noor Tarun
Non
Ahsanul Hafiz
Oui
Mark Bekkering
Non
Chris Rees
Non
Ahsanul Hafiz 99.8%
Fatima Shaban <1%
Noor Tarun <1%
Mark Bekkering <1%
$3,322 Vol.
$3,322 Vol.
Fatima Shaban
Non
Noor Tarun
Non
Ahsanul Hafiz
Oui
Mark Bekkering
Non
Chris Rees
Non
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).
Marché ouvert : Sep 3, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.elections.on.ca/Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).
Source de résolution
https://www.elections.on.ca/Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The September 3, 2026 by-election results position Liberal candidate Ahsanul Hafiz firmly in second place behind NDP frontrunner Fatima Shaban, aligning with pre-vote polling averages and the riding's recent history of NDP strength. Shaban benefited from established party support on local issues such as housing and affordability following Doly Begum's resignation, while Hafiz consolidated Liberal backing after securing the nomination and leveraging his business and community profile. Progressive Conservative candidate Noor Tarun and others trailed further back, limiting challenges to the middle position. Official Elections Ontario tallies would need substantial adjustments from reported shares or an unforeseen surge by a minor contender to alter the outcome, though such shifts remain improbable given the confirmed margins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
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