National Weather Service forecasts confirm a high near 86°F in Denver today under mostly sunny skies and moderately gusty winds, driving the market's 99.8% implied probability on 74°F or higher as trader consensus reflects this strong model agreement from recent runs. A persistent upper-level ridge over the Rockies has delivered above-normal temperatures this week—near 86°F yesterday—enabling efficient solar insolation on dry surfaces well above the May 15 climatological normal of 71°F. Fire danger remains elevated amid the heat dome-like pattern. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud development or a late cold front intrusion, though low-confidence ensemble models show minimal risk; monitor hourly observations at Denver International Airport for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Denver on May 15?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 15?
74°F or higher 99.6%
72-73°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$50,712 Vol.
$50,712 Vol.
May 15, 2026
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
100%
74°F or higher 99.6%
72-73°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$50,712 Vol.
$50,712 Vol.
May 15, 2026
60-61°F
$2,179 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$1,890 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,919 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$2,620 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$2,210 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$2,545 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$7,432 Vol.
<1%
74°F or higher
$6,858 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts confirm a high near 86°F in Denver today under mostly sunny skies and moderately gusty winds, driving the market's 99.8% implied probability on 74°F or higher as trader consensus reflects this strong model agreement from recent runs. A persistent upper-level ridge over the Rockies has delivered above-normal temperatures this week—near 86°F yesterday—enabling efficient solar insolation on dry surfaces well above the May 15 climatological normal of 71°F. Fire danger remains elevated amid the heat dome-like pattern. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud development or a late cold front intrusion, though low-confidence ensemble models show minimal risk; monitor hourly observations at Denver International Airport for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ET
Volume
$50,712Tanggal Berakhir
May 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts confirm a high near 86°F in Denver today under mostly sunny skies and moderately gusty winds, driving the market's 99.8% implied probability on 74°F or higher as trader consensus reflects this strong model agreement from recent runs. A persistent upper-level ridge over the Rockies has delivered above-normal temperatures this week—near 86°F yesterday—enabling efficient solar insolation on dry surfaces well above the May 15 climatological normal of 71°F. Fire danger remains elevated amid the heat dome-like pattern. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud development or a late cold front intrusion, though low-confidence ensemble models show minimal risk; monitor hourly observations at Denver International Airport for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$50,712Tanggal Berakhir
May 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts confirm a high near 86°F in Denver today under mostly sunny skies and moderately gusty winds, driving the market's 99.8% implied probability on 74°F or higher as trader consensus reflects this strong model agreement from recent runs. A persistent upper-level ridge over the Rockies has delivered above-normal temperatures this week—near 86°F yesterday—enabling efficient solar insolation on dry surfaces well above the May 15 climatological normal of 71°F. Fire danger remains elevated amid the heat dome-like pattern. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud development or a late cold front intrusion, though low-confidence ensemble models show minimal risk; monitor hourly observations at Denver International Airport for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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