Recent polling averages show Die Linke narrowly ahead of the CDU in voting intentions for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, reflecting urban voter preferences and dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition. The CDU’s lead candidate change has not produced a clear rebound, while AfD support remains contained below 20 percent amid Berlin’s demographic profile. With no party approaching a majority, coalition arithmetic and turnout among left-leaning and centrist blocs remain central to which party secures the largest share. Traders price the contest as competitive between the top two, sensitive to any late shifts in Green or SPD preferences and national momentum heading into the final weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日リンク 40%
CDU 34%
AfD 14.1%
グリューネ 8.5%
$3,248,483 Vol.
$3,248,483 Vol.
2026/09/20
リンク
40%
CDU
34%
AfD
14%
グリューネ
9%
SPD
4%
BSW
<1%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
リンク 40%
CDU 34%
AfD 14.1%
グリューネ 8.5%
$3,248,483 Vol.
$3,248,483 Vol.
2026/09/20
リンク
$121,276 Vol.
40%
CDU
$177,070 Vol.
34%
AfD
$2,364,529 Vol.
14%
グリューネ
$134,242 Vol.
9%
SPD
$366,739 Vol.
4%
BSW
$48,502 Vol.
<1%
FDP
$20,953 Vol.
<1%
FW
$15,172 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polling averages show Die Linke narrowly ahead of the CDU in voting intentions for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, reflecting urban voter preferences and dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition. The CDU’s lead candidate change has not produced a clear rebound, while AfD support remains contained below 20 percent amid Berlin’s demographic profile. With no party approaching a majority, coalition arithmetic and turnout among left-leaning and centrist blocs remain central to which party secures the largest share. Traders price the contest as competitive between the top two, sensitive to any late shifts in Green or SPD preferences and national momentum heading into the final weeks.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
マーケット開始日： Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ET
音量
$3,248,483終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polling averages show Die Linke narrowly ahead of the CDU in voting intentions for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, reflecting urban voter preferences and dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition. The CDU’s lead candidate change has not produced a clear rebound, while AfD support remains contained below 20 percent amid Berlin’s demographic profile. With no party approaching a majority, coalition arithmetic and turnout among left-leaning and centrist blocs remain central to which party secures the largest share. Traders price the contest as competitive between the top two, sensitive to any late shifts in Green or SPD preferences and national momentum heading into the final weeks.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
音量
$3,248,483終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling averages show Die Linke narrowly ahead of the CDU in voting intentions for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, reflecting urban voter preferences and dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition. The CDU’s lead candidate change has not produced a clear rebound, while AfD support remains contained below 20 percent amid Berlin’s demographic profile. With no party approaching a majority, coalition arithmetic and turnout among left-leaning and centrist blocs remain central to which party secures the largest share. Traders price the contest as competitive between the top two, sensitive to any late shifts in Green or SPD preferences and national momentum heading into the final weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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