The Massachusetts 3rd congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Lori Trahan has secured repeated large margins in prior cycles, while primary filings show limited Republican opposition and multiple Democratic contenders ahead of the September 1 primaries. Cook Political Report maintains a Solid Democratic rating, consistent with historical voting patterns in the Lowell-Lawrence area. A late surge by a well-funded Republican nominee or an unexpected national midterm shift could narrow the margin, though structural barriers remain substantial.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$13,839 Vol.
$13,839 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
6%
$13,839 Vol.
$13,839 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$5,045 Vol.
93%
共和党
$8,794 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 3rd congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Lori Trahan has secured repeated large margins in prior cycles, while primary filings show limited Republican opposition and multiple Democratic contenders ahead of the September 1 primaries. Cook Political Report maintains a Solid Democratic rating, consistent with historical voting patterns in the Lowell-Lawrence area. A late surge by a well-funded Republican nominee or an unexpected national midterm shift could narrow the margin, though structural barriers remain substantial.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$13,839終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 3rd congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Lori Trahan has secured repeated large margins in prior cycles, while primary filings show limited Republican opposition and multiple Democratic contenders ahead of the September 1 primaries. Cook Political Report maintains a Solid Democratic rating, consistent with historical voting patterns in the Lowell-Lawrence area. A late surge by a well-funded Republican nominee or an unexpected national midterm shift could narrow the margin, though structural barriers remain substantial.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$13,839終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Massachusetts 3rd congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Lori Trahan has secured repeated large margins in prior cycles, while primary filings show limited Republican opposition and multiple Democratic contenders ahead of the September 1 primaries. Cook Political Report maintains a Solid Democratic rating, consistent with historical voting patterns in the Lowell-Lawrence area. A late surge by a well-funded Republican nominee or an unexpected national midterm shift could narrow the margin, though structural barriers remain substantial.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問