Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew seeks reelection in New Jersey’s 2nd Congressional District, where the partisan voting index and Trump’s 13-point margin in the prior cycle create a structural Republican advantage. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the race Solid Republican, consistent with trader consensus placing the Republican Party at 70.5 percent implied probability. The June 2 primaries approach, with Van Drew unopposed on the Republican side while four Democrats—including Tim Alexander, Bayly Winder, Zack Mullock, and Terri Reese—compete for their party’s nomination. Limited recent polling and fundraising data show Democratic challengers trailing in resources and name recognition. No major developments in the past month have altered the district’s underlying partisan lean or Van Drew’s incumbency edge ahead of the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$12,769 Vol.
$12,769 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
70%
民主党
26%
$12,769 Vol.
$12,769 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$6,303 Vol.
70%
民主党
$6,515 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew seeks reelection in New Jersey’s 2nd Congressional District, where the partisan voting index and Trump’s 13-point margin in the prior cycle create a structural Republican advantage. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the race Solid Republican, consistent with trader consensus placing the Republican Party at 70.5 percent implied probability. The June 2 primaries approach, with Van Drew unopposed on the Republican side while four Democrats—including Tim Alexander, Bayly Winder, Zack Mullock, and Terri Reese—compete for their party’s nomination. Limited recent polling and fundraising data show Democratic challengers trailing in resources and name recognition. No major developments in the past month have altered the district’s underlying partisan lean or Van Drew’s incumbency edge ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$12,769終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew seeks reelection in New Jersey’s 2nd Congressional District, where the partisan voting index and Trump’s 13-point margin in the prior cycle create a structural Republican advantage. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the race Solid Republican, consistent with trader consensus placing the Republican Party at 70.5 percent implied probability. The June 2 primaries approach, with Van Drew unopposed on the Republican side while four Democrats—including Tim Alexander, Bayly Winder, Zack Mullock, and Terri Reese—compete for their party’s nomination. Limited recent polling and fundraising data show Democratic challengers trailing in resources and name recognition. No major developments in the past month have altered the district’s underlying partisan lean or Van Drew’s incumbency edge ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$12,769終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew seeks reelection in New Jersey’s 2nd Congressional District, where the partisan voting index and Trump’s 13-point margin in the prior cycle create a structural Republican advantage. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the race Solid Republican, consistent with trader consensus placing the Republican Party at 70.5 percent implied probability. The June 2 primaries approach, with Van Drew unopposed on the Republican side while four Democrats—including Tim Alexander, Bayly Winder, Zack Mullock, and Terri Reese—compete for their party’s nomination. Limited recent polling and fundraising data show Democratic challengers trailing in resources and name recognition. No major developments in the past month have altered the district’s underlying partisan lean or Van Drew’s incumbency edge ahead of the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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