**Incumbent Democratic Rep. Susie Lee’s strong performance in the June 9, 2026, primary has reinforced trader confidence in a Democratic hold for Nevada’s 3rd congressional district.** Lee defeated her Democratic challengers by a wide margin and now faces Republican nominee Marty O’Donnell, who prevailed in a crowded GOP primary. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+1 and has been rated Lean Democratic by multiple forecasters, reflecting its slight structural tilt and Lee’s history of narrow but consistent general-election victories. With the general election still five months away on November 3, traders appear to be pricing in the advantages of incumbency, fundraising, and the district’s modest Democratic lean while assigning the Republican nominee a credible but secondary chance, particularly if turnout dynamics or coattails from the statewide gubernatorial race shift. No major late-breaking developments have altered the positioning since the primaries concluded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
86%
共和党
25%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$374 Vol.
86%
共和党
$100 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Democratic Rep. Susie Lee’s strong performance in the June 9, 2026, primary has reinforced trader confidence in a Democratic hold for Nevada’s 3rd congressional district.** Lee defeated her Democratic challengers by a wide margin and now faces Republican nominee Marty O’Donnell, who prevailed in a crowded GOP primary. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+1 and has been rated Lean Democratic by multiple forecasters, reflecting its slight structural tilt and Lee’s history of narrow but consistent general-election victories.
With the general election still five months away on November 3, traders appear to be pricing in the advantages of incumbency, fundraising, and the district’s modest Democratic lean while assigning the Republican nominee a credible but secondary chance, particularly if turnout dynamics or coattails from the statewide gubernatorial race shift. No major late-breaking developments have altered the positioning since the primaries concluded.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
音量
$474終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Democratic Rep. Susie Lee’s strong performance in the June 9, 2026, primary has reinforced trader confidence in a Democratic hold for Nevada’s 3rd congressional district.** Lee defeated her Democratic challengers by a wide margin and now faces Republican nominee Marty O’Donnell, who prevailed in a crowded GOP primary. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+1 and has been rated Lean Democratic by multiple forecasters, reflecting its slight structural tilt and Lee’s history of narrow but consistent general-election victories.
With the general election still five months away on November 3, traders appear to be pricing in the advantages of incumbency, fundraising, and the district’s modest Democratic lean while assigning the Republican nominee a credible but secondary chance, particularly if turnout dynamics or coattails from the statewide gubernatorial race shift. No major late-breaking developments have altered the positioning since the primaries concluded.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$474終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Democratic Rep. Susie Lee’s strong performance in the June 9, 2026, primary has reinforced trader confidence in a Democratic hold for Nevada’s 3rd congressional district.** Lee defeated her Democratic challengers by a wide margin and now faces Republican nominee Marty O’Donnell, who prevailed in a crowded GOP primary. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+1 and has been rated Lean Democratic by multiple forecasters, reflecting its slight structural tilt and Lee’s history of narrow but consistent general-election victories. With the general election still five months away on November 3, traders appear to be pricing in the advantages of incumbency, fundraising, and the district’s modest Democratic lean while assigning the Republican nominee a credible but secondary chance, particularly if turnout dynamics or coattails from the statewide gubernatorial race shift. No major late-breaking developments have altered the positioning since the primaries concluded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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