Official NOAA observations at Istanbul Airport (LTFM) confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 15°C today, May 14, with hourly METAR reports peaking at this mark amid partly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds around 13 mph, and relative humidity near 56%, limiting solar heating and convective warming. This aligns with Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and UK Met Office guidance forecasting a daytime maximum of 15°C, well below the mid-May climatological average of 20–21°C due to a lingering cool air mass over the region. Trader consensus reflects this robust observational evidence, with skin-in-the-game bets aggregating to 100% implied probability. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc revision to NOAA's daily maximum—such as an overlooked sensor reading—but diurnal cooling now minimizes this risk, pending final data release.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 14?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 14?
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$52,475 거래량
$52,475 거래량
2026.05.14
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$52,475 거래량
$52,475 거래량
2026.05.14
9°C or below
$1,349 거래량
No
10°C
$1,379 거래량
No
11°C
$1,231 거래량
No
12°C
$3,222 거래량
No
13°C
$8,775 거래량
No
14°C
$7,008 거래량
No
15°C
$6,618 거래량
Yes
16°C
$3,923 거래량
No
17°C
$3,728 거래량
No
18°C
$5,099 거래량
No
19°C or higher
$10,143 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official NOAA observations at Istanbul Airport (LTFM) confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 15°C today, May 14, with hourly METAR reports peaking at this mark amid partly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds around 13 mph, and relative humidity near 56%, limiting solar heating and convective warming. This aligns with Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and UK Met Office guidance forecasting a daytime maximum of 15°C, well below the mid-May climatological average of 20–21°C due to a lingering cool air mass over the region. Trader consensus reflects this robust observational evidence, with skin-in-the-game bets aggregating to 100% implied probability. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc revision to NOAA's daily maximum—such as an overlooked sensor reading—but diurnal cooling now minimizes this risk, pending final data release.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 12, 2026, 12:54 AM ET
거래량
$52,475종료일
2026.05.14마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 12:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official NOAA observations at Istanbul Airport (LTFM) confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 15°C today, May 14, with hourly METAR reports peaking at this mark amid partly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds around 13 mph, and relative humidity near 56%, limiting solar heating and convective warming. This aligns with Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and UK Met Office guidance forecasting a daytime maximum of 15°C, well below the mid-May climatological average of 20–21°C due to a lingering cool air mass over the region. Trader consensus reflects this robust observational evidence, with skin-in-the-game bets aggregating to 100% implied probability. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc revision to NOAA's daily maximum—such as an overlooked sensor reading—but diurnal cooling now minimizes this risk, pending final data release.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$52,475종료일
2026.05.14마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 12:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Official NOAA observations at Istanbul Airport (LTFM) confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 15°C today, May 14, with hourly METAR reports peaking at this mark amid partly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds around 13 mph, and relative humidity near 56%, limiting solar heating and convective warming. This aligns with Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and UK Met Office guidance forecasting a daytime maximum of 15°C, well below the mid-May climatological average of 20–21°C due to a lingering cool air mass over the region. Trader consensus reflects this robust observational evidence, with skin-in-the-game bets aggregating to 100% implied probability. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc revision to NOAA's daily maximum—such as an overlooked sensor reading—but diurnal cooling now minimizes this risk, pending final data release.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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